Thursday, June 25, 2015

Stocks Reversing Lower into Final Hour on Greece Debt Deal Worries, US High-Yield Debt Angst, China Bubble Fears, Transport/Commodity Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.97 +5.28%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 144.62 -,23%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.74 +.34%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.73 -.71%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 103.0 -14.88%
  • Total Put/Call 1.0 +13.64%
  • NYSE Arms 1.03 -39.15% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.71 -.44%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,072.0 +2.62%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 77.14 -1.19%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.76 +.44%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 57.32 -1.04%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 301.30 +.05%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.81 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 22.75 +1.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 27.0 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.0 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 171.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.19/Metric Tonne -.54%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -32.70 +3.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 9.5 -.9 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -20.30 -1.8 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.93 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +18 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -162 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -28 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my medical sector longs, index hedges and emerging markets shorts 
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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