Thursday, June 18, 2015

Stocks Surging into Final Hour on Central Bank Hopes, Greece Debt Deal Optimism, Less Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Biotech/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 13.15 -9.31%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.12 -.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.95 -2.08%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.10 -.94%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 81.0 -22.86%
  • Total Put/Call .91 +7.06%
  • NYSE Arms .82 +14.16% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 67.51 -3.59%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,557.0 -1.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 91.15 +1.36%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 28.86 +3.81%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.82 -.81%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 306.70 -2.48%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.47 +.03%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.75 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 28.5 +.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.75 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .00% unch.
  • Yield Curve 170.0 +5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.77/Metric Tonne +.42%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -35.80 -2.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -1.90 -.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -16.50 +2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +179 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -130 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +63 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges, then added them back
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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