Wednesday, July 08, 2015

Stocks Falling Substantially into Final Hour on China Bubble-Bursting Fears, Global Growth Worries, Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Commodity/Biotech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.24 +19.38%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 13.48 -1.05%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.44 +1.61%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 62.01 +5.84%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 73.0 +19.7%
  • Total Put/Call 1.40 +12.0%
  • NYSE Arms 2.01 +138.72% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.99 +2.86%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,269.0 +.24%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 98.58 -1.93%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 32.87 +3.20%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.35 +4.08%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 319.0 +.91%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index n/a
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.50 unch.
  • TED Spread 27.5 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 166.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $44.59/Metric Tonne -10.10%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -20.7 +.8 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -6.4 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.0 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 -4.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -422 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -1,044 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -41 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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