Thursday, July 09, 2015

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on China Bounce, Greece Debt Deal Hopes, Short-Covering, Energy/Financial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.0 -3.36%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 139.60 -.04%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.18 -1.92%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 61.51 -.55%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 88.0 +20.5%
  • Total Put/Call 1.15 -20.14%
  • NYSE Arms .66 -79.20% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 72.50 -1.0%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,268.0 -.76%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 91.70 -6.99%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 30.46 -7.35%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 61.21 -5.02%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 310.72 -2.90%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 119.13 -.51%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.25 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -21.75 +.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 172.0 +6.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $48.99/Metric Tonne +9.87%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -22.9 -2.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -6.1 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -17.50 +.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.86 +1.0 basis point
  • # of Months to 1st Fed Rate Hike(Morgan Stanley) 7.87 +.38
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -110 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -474 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -5 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

No comments: