Tuesday, April 18, 2017

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Less Economic Optimism, European Election Worries, Earnings Concerns, Financial/Pharma Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.50 -1.09%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 121.41 +.29%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.19 -.43%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 45.89 -.78%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 80.0 -22.33%
  • Total Put/Call .65 -23.53%
  • NYSE Arms 1.42 +119.18%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.79 +1.40%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 362.0 +.27%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 94.31 +.50%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.72 +2.85%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.94 +1.35%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 212.80 +.52%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 136.85 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.0 -.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 35.0 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -30.0 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.34 +.06%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .80% unch.
  • Yield Curve 100.0 -5.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $66.25/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.60 -3.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 38.50 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.7 +.4 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.85 -4.0 basis points
  • 43.7% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 49.1% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -68 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -51 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +11 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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