Tuesday, April 11, 2017

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Geopolitical Tensions, Rising Eurozone Debt Angst, Yen Strength, Financial/Road & Rail Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.17 +7.9%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 121.48 -1.02%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.33 -.64%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.14 -2.33%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 61.0 -29.89%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -18.69%
  • NYSE Arms 1.28 +9.99%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.42 +1.22%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 348.0 +.07%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 93.25 +1.89%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.90 +.43%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.06 +3.47%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 212.02 +.49%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 136.76 +.22%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.25 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.75 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.70 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .81% unch.
  • Yield Curve 107.0 -2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $74.38/Metric Tonne -.44%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.40 +.8 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 39.20 +.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 21.0 -3.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.91 -2.0 basis points
  • 59.3% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 62.8% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -73 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -23 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +39 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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