Monday, April 17, 2017

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Diminished Geopolitical Tensions, Yen Weakness, Technical Buying, Financial/Tech Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Light
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.76 -7.58%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 120.90 +.44%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.24 -.43%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.27 -3.02%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 105.0 +20.69%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -12.37%
  • NYSE Arms .97 -57.11%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 68.27 +1.57%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 357.0 +.13%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 93.74 +.22%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 13.36 +.15%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.66 +.60%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 211.50 -.27%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 136.72 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.75 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 35.0 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -31.75 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 72.25 +.13%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .80% unch.
  • Yield Curve 105.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $66.25/Metric Tonne -3.54%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 10.50 -17.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 38.60 -.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.3 +12.6 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.89 -3.0 basis points
  • 50.2% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 55.3% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +115 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -48 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +20 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/retail/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long

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