Wednesday, April 12, 2017

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Geopolitical Tensions, Less Economic Optimism, Oil Decline, Transport/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.75 +4.51%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 121.49 +.12%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.31 -.21%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 46.40 -.49%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 133.0 +87.32%
  • Total Put/Call .87 -4.4%
  • NYSE Arms 1.08 -11.91%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.79 +1.32%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 351.0 +.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 92.60 -1.07%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.54 -2.75%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 22.50 +2.02%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 213.86 +.79%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 136.69 -.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.0 -.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 34.25 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.75 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.85 +.20%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .81% unch.
  • Yield Curve 106.0 -1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $68.04/Metric Tonne -8.52%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 36.70 +.3 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 39.10 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 19.3 -1.7 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.92 +1.0 basis point
  • 60.0% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 62.7% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +67 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -13 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +29 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs and index hedges
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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