Thursday, April 06, 2017

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Economic Optimism, Oil Gain, Yen Weakness, Financial/Retail Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.83 -8.2%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 123.17 -.07%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.26 +1.54%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 43.16 -3.66%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 120.0 +81.82%
  • Total Put/Call .92 +1.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.11 -21.29%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 65.47 -.83%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 349.0 -1.07%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 89.01 -2.48%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 12.78 -.39%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 21.01 +.41%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 210.08 -.64%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 136.66 +.19%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 34.0 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 35.75 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.75 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.84 +.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .80% unch.
  • Yield Curve 110.0 unch.
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $80.92/Metric Tonne -.76%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 47.30 +1.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 36.0 -1.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 29.60 -8.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.96 -1.0 basis point
  • 63.2% chance of Fed rate hike at June 14 meeting, 67.3% chance at July 26 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +155 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +6 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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