Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:        
  • Asia Stocks Set to Follow U.S. Rally, Bonds Steady. Stocks in Asia looked set to follow the lead from a strong U.S. session after earnings handed investors a welcome distraction from trade tensions and rising yields. The dollar slipped and Treasuries were steady. Futures in all major markets in the region pointed to gains when trading begins Wednesday, and Australia’s shares advanced at the open. Nasdaq futures pulled back from an initial climb after profit at Netflix Inc. trounced estimates. Earlier, the U.S. equities rally was led by technology shares. The dollar held near a two-week low and the 10-year Treasury yield traded around 3.16 percent after data showed U.S. factory production expanded in September. Oil edged higher amid tensions between the Saudi Arabia and the U.S. over the disappearance of a prominent journalist. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 2 percent in Singapore. Contracts on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index advanced 1.5 percent. FTSE China A50 index futures rose 1.2 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index gained 1 percent. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.1 percent and Nasdaq 100 contracts were down 0.2 percent.  
Wall St. Journal:
CNBC:       
Zero Hedge: 
Telegraph:       
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +1.0% to +1.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 87.25 -1.0 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 9.75 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 67.33 +.57%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.66%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.07%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.15%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (ABT)/.75
  • (ASML)/1.58
  • (BMI)/.41
  • (MTB)/3.35
  • (USB)/1.04
  • (WGO)/.91
After the Close:
  • (AA)/.34
  • (BXS)/.56
  • (CCI)/1.20
  • (KMI)/.21
  • (SLG)/1.69
  • (STLD)/1.66
  • (URI)/4.62
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Housing Starts for September MoM are estimated to fall to 1210K versus 1282K in August.
  • Building Permits MoM for September are estimated to rise to 1274K versus 1229K in August.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +580,800 barrels versus a +5,987,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +883,000 barrels versus a +951,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -969,6000 barrels versus a -2,666,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -.36% versus a -1.6% decline prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • FOMC Meeting Minutes.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Quarles speaking, Eurozone CPI report, UK Retail Sales report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the BIO Investor Forum could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are higher, boosted by technology and pharmaceutical shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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