Tuesday, October 30, 2018

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:              
  • Asia Stocks to End Torrid Month Mixed; Bonds Slip. Asian stocks looked set to end a bruising month in mixed fashion following a topsy-turvy U.S. session that eventually saw equities close higher. Treasuries fell and the dollar climbed. Shares in Australia and New Zealand climbed and futures pointed to a higher start for stocks in Japan, with Hong Kong looking modestly lower. The S&P 500 Index twice erased gains that topped 1 percent before finally securing a rebound in the final hour of trading. Chinese markets will be in focus after calls from authorities to encourage funds to invest spurred a rally Tuesday, while the yuan held near the weakest level in a decade against the greenback. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 added 0.9 percent in Singapore. FTSE China A50 futures rose 0.4 percent. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index added 0.3 percent. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declined 0.1 percent. The S&P 500 Index rose 1.6 percent. Futures on the S&P 500 were little changed.  
Wall St. Journal:
CNBC:       
Zero Hedge:
Telegraph:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 91.5 -1.25 basis points. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 10.5 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 66.45 -.05%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.22%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.07%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.07%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (APTV)/1.20
  • (ADP)/1.11
  • (BAX)/.74
  • (BG)/2.40
  • (CLX)/1.59
  • (EL)/1.23
  • (GM)/1.25
  • (HES)/-.04
  • (ICE)/.80
  • (IGT)/.31
  • (K)/1.07
  • (TAP)/1.59
  • (S)/-.01
  • (YUM)/.83
After the Close:
  • (ALL)/2.25
  • (AIG)/.17
  • (APA)/.47
  • (CF)/.13
  • (ESRX)/2.42
  • (NXPI)/1.90
  • (RGLD)/.38
  • (RGR)/.92
  • (XPO)/.99
Economic Releases
8:15 am EST
  • The ADP Employment Change for October is estimated to fall to 187K versus 230K in September. 
8:30 am EST
  • The 3Q Employment Cost Index is estimated to rise +.7% versus a +.6% gain in 2Q.
9:45 am EST
  • The Chicago Purchasing Manager Index for October is estimated to fall to 60.0 versus 60.4 in September.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +3,014,730 barrels versus a +6,346,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -1,777,000 barrels versus a -4,826,000 barrel decline the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to fall by -1,398,820 barrels versus a -2,262,000 barrel decline the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.46% versus a +.4% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The China Manufacturing PMI report, Eurozone CPI report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the (HLF) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by industrial and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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