Broad Equity Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Lower
- Sector Performance: Mixed
- Volume: Around Average
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- Volatility(VIX) 13.1 +3.2%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.29 -.24%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.42 +1.78%
- S&P 500 Implied Correlation 29.45 -1.1%
- ISE Sentiment Index 112.0 +10
- Total Put/Call 1.0 +13.6%
- NYSE Arms 1.13 -14.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.92 +.53%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 548.0 +.92%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.03 +3.42%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 154.50 +7.5 basis points
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 64.59 +1.66%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 199.08 +1.1%
- iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.74 +.05%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 3.25 -.75 basis point
- TED Spread 34.25 unch.
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -16.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
- Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.36 -.20%
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.56% unch.
- Yield Curve .26 +1.0 basis point
- China Iron Ore Spot 79.07 USD/Metric Tonne -.32%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 6.0-1.0 basis point
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -15.90 +.5 point
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.20 +.3 basis point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.66 -5.0 basis points
- 25.2% chance of Fed rate cut at Jan. 29th meeting, 37.2% chance of cut at March 18th meeting
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -13 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating -24 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating -3 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 100% Net Long
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