Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are unch. to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 64.75 -.25 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 39.0 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  65.22 -.02%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.04%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.04%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.02%.

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (DAKT)/.16
  • (DE)/2.14
  • (FRO)/.03
After the Close:
  • None of ntoe
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • 3Q GDP QoQ is estimated to rise +1.9% versus a prior estimate of a +1.9% gain.
  • 3Q Personal Consumption is estimated to rise +2.8% versus a prior estimate of a +2.9% gain.
  • 3Q GDP Price Index is estimated to rise +1.7% versus a prior estimate of a +1.7% gain.
  • 3Q Core PCE QoQ is estimated to rise +2.2% versus a prior estimate of a +2.2% gain.
  • Durable Goods Orders for Oct. is estimated to fall -.9% versus a -1.2% decline in Sept.
  • Durables Ex Transports for Oct. is estimated to rise +.1% versus a -.4% decline in Sept.
  • Capital Goods Orders Non-Defense Ex-Air is estimated to fall -.2% versus a -.6% decline in Sept. 
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 221K versus 227K the prior week. 
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 1691K versus 1695K prior.
9:45 am EST
  • The MNI Chicago PMI for Nov. is estimated to rise to 47.0 versus 43.2 in Oct.
10:00 am EST
  • Personal Income for Oct. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in Sept.
  • Personal Spending for Oct. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.2% gain in Sept.
  • The PCE Core MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.1% versus unch. in Sept. 
  • Pending Home Sales MoM for Oct. is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +1.5% gain in Sept.
2:00 pm EST
  • US Fed Beige Book release.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Japan Retail Trade report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the $32B 7Y T-Note auction could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

No comments: