Wednesday, November 06, 2019

Thursday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:
  • Stocks Mixed as Interim Trade Deal Hits Roadblock. Stocks in Asia were mixed Thursday after reports that the signing of a partial U.S.-China trade deal may be delayed until next month. Treasuries extended Wednesday’s gains. Equities in Japan opened flat and South Korean stocks slipped, while shares in Sydney rose modestly. The S&P 500 Index closed little changed Wednesday. The latest news suggested that the signing of a preliminary trade agreement may not happen this month as originally planned as the two sides wrangle over a location. West Texas oil remained near $53 a barrel. Japan’s Topix index dipped 0.1% of as 9:07 a.m. in Tokyo. South Korea’s Kospi index dropped 0.3%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.5%. Futures on the S&P 500 were flat.
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.5% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 64.75 +.5 basis point.
  • China Sovereign CDS 36.75 -.25 basis point.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index  66.16 -.05%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.15%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.06%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.06%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (APD)/2.29
  • (ABC)/1.58
  • (MT)/-.28
  • (CAH)/1.09
  • (DISCA)/.81
  • (DISH)/.58
  • (HAIN)/.08
  • (JCI)/.76
  • (NCLH)/2.17
  • (RL)/2.39
  • (STRA)/1.20
  • (TSG)/.42
  • (WWW)/.63
  • (ZTS)/.88
After the Close:
  • (ATVI)/.23
  • (MNST)/.54
  • (NWSA)/.08
  • (PETQ)/.35
  • (SGMS)/.03
  • (STMP)/.74
  • (SYNA)/.73
  • (TTWO)/1.70
  • (TTD)/.66
  • (DIS)/.97
  • (YELP)/.50
  • (ZG)/-.20
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to fall to 215K versus 218K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 1682K versus 1690K prior.
3:00 pm EST
  • Consumer Credit for Sept. is estimated to fall to $15.0B versus $17.901B in Aug.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Bostic speaking, Fed's Kaplan speaking, BofE rate decision/meeting, China Trade Balance report, $19B 30Y T-Bond auction, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, (STRA) analyst day and the Stifel Growth Conference could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are slightly lower, weighed down by consumer and commodity shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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