Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on US Economic Data, Technical Buying, Short-Covering, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 12.6 +1.3%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.83 -.08%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.16 -.69%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.92 -5.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 95.0 +15
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +25.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.48 +16.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 52.03 +1.48%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 550.0 +1.93%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.20 +.91%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 158.50 +4.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 64.13 +.52%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 203.63 +.84%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 167.88 -.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread -1.0 -2.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 34.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -12.25 -.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.63 +.04%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.55% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve .19 -3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 84.20 USD/Metric Tonne +.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -1.4 +4.3 basis points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -16.30 -2.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -27.30 -.1 basis point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.64 -1.0 basis point
  • 21.7% chance of Fed rate cut at Jan. 29th meeting, 36.7% chance of cut at March 18th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -12 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -44 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -13 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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