Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Stocks Falling Substantially into Final Hour on Global Recession Worries, Oil Decline, Technical Selling, Energy/Financial Sector Weakness

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 41.0 +8.6%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 121.70 -.36%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.33 +2.44%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 80.0 +8.0%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 52.0 +6.0 points
  • Total Put/Call 1.02 +3.0%
  • NYSE Arms 1.54 -11.2%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 86.07 +4.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,100.0 +.19%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 104.48 +11.2%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 235.0 +26.25 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 118.13 +.24%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 339.64 +8.69%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 159.99 +1.09%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 21.0 unch.
  • TED Spread 110.0 +5.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 47.0 +.25 basis point
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  127.0 +3.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 58.49 -1.02%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .13% -3.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 52.25 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 82.50 USD/Metric Tonne -1.23%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -126.50 -42.4 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -61.50 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 13.10 +1.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.20 -9.0 basis points
  • n/a chance of no change at April 29th meeting, n/a chance of no change at June 10th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -165 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -203 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +29 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my tech/biotech/medical/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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