Thursday, April 23, 2020

Stocks Higher into Final Hour on Global Stimulus Hopes, Oil Surge, Short-Covering, Energy/Gaming Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 41.1 -2.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 120.27 -.54%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.4 -2.4%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 77.6 +.75%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 108.0 -29.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .87 -4.4%
  • NYSE Arms .78 -20.4%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 92.98 -2.6%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,320.0 +18.5%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 10414 -3.5%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 241.0 -7.5 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 123.71 -.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 356.91 +.09%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 165.34 -.54%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.5 -2.25 basis points
  • TED Spread 94.0 -7.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 30.5 -5.5 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  128.0 -2.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 57.80 +.07%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .08% -2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 40.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 81.42 USD/Metric Tonne -.1%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -133.30 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -202.20 -170.3 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.50 +5.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.05 -1.0 basis point
  • n/a chance of no change at April 29th meeting, n/a chance of no change at June 10th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +26 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -33 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -105 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/industrial/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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