Friday, April 24, 2020

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Global Stimulus Hopes, Oil Gain, Short-Covering, Retail/Homebuilding Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 37.05 -10.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 120.26 -.01%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.4 -2.4%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 76.15 -3.92%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 71.0 -37.0 points
  • Total Put/Call 1.08 +24.1%
  • NYSE Arms 1.32 +54.7%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 92.82 -1.02%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 884.0 -34.3%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 109.99 +5.62%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 231.25 -9.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 124.95 +1.03%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 367.61 +2.78%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 165.15 -.11%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 16.5 -1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 92.0 -2.0 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap 30.5 -5.5 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  129.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 57.51 -.40%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .10% +2.0 basis points
  • Yield Curve 37.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 80.89 USD/Metric Tonne -.57%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -101.80 +31.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -219.70 -17.5 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -.2 +2.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.11 +6.0 basis points
  • n/a chance of no change at April 29th meeting, n/a chance of no change at June 10th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +208 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +38 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +85 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech/industrial/medical/consumer staple sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my emerging market shorts
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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