Tuesday, April 21, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:       
  • Asian Stocks Retreat; Oil Futures Jump After Rout. Asian stocks retreated Wednesday after a risk-off session on Wall Street, amid continued volatility in energy markets and further signs companies are finding it hard to provide outlooks. Crude edged up after a two-day tumble. Shares fell in Tokyo, Seoul and Sydney though declines were shallower than those in the U.S. on Tuesday. S&P 500 futures were little changed after the gauge closed down more than 3%, with investors shrugging off a deal reached by the White House and congressional leaders on fresh spending to combat the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. June crude futures rose as much as 20%, after tumbling more than 50% over the previous two sessions. The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasuries was steady after dropping below 0.6%. Futures on the S&P 500 added 0.1% as of 9:12 a.m. in Tokyo. The gauge declined 3.1% on Tuesday. Japan’s Topix index fell 1.5%. South Korea’s Kospi index lost 1.4%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 1.7%.
Wall Street Journal: 
CNBC.com:
Zero Hedge:
John Hopkins University:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -1.75% to -1.0% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 117.75 +8.0 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 51.75 +5.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 57.82 +.01%.
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.22%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.19%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate
Before the Open:
  • (T)/.87
  • (BIIB)/7.72
  • (DAL)/-.87
  • (KMB)/1.96
  • (KNX)/.35
  • (NDAQ)/1.45
  • (DGX)/.88
  • (STM)/.21
  • (TMO)/2.83
  • (WWW)/.20
After the Close:
  • (AA)/-.17
  • (SAM)/1.92
  • (CSX)/.95
  • (KMI)/.25
  • (LRCX)/3.48
  • (LSTR)/1.11
  • (LVS)/-.09
  • (ORLY)/4.03
  • (STX)/1.19
  • (SAVE)/-.30
  • (AMTD)/.88
  • (VMI)/1.39
  • (XLNX)/.78
Economic Releases
9:00 am EST
  • The FHFA House Price Index MoM for Feb. is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.3% gain in Jan.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory gain of +13,919,200 barrels versus a +19,248,000 barrel gain the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +4,551,000 barrels versus a +4,914,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +3,658,600 barrels versus a +6,280,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall by -1.96% versus a -6.5% decline prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The UK CPI report, Eurozone Consumer Confidence report and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are lower, weighed down by financial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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