Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Stocks Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Global Stimulus Hopes, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Biotech/Tech Sector Strength

 Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 32.5 -3.5%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 124.85 -.36%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.9 +.7%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.7 +2.8%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 103.0 +8.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .71 -7.8%
  • NYSE Arms 1.54 +94.5%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 69.84 +.62%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 908.97 -.81%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.55 -.61%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 180.75 -1.75 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 85.18 -1.95%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 188.54 -3.42%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 169.27 -.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 6.5 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 14.5 -1.25 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -10.0 +4.0 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  114.0 +3.0 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 70.0 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.70 -.13%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .15% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 53.5 -3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 100.23 USD/Metric Tonne -.72%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 113.40 -5.9 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -196.30 -3.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.6 -3.2 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.25 -2.0 basis points
  • 100.0% chance of no change at Sept. 16 meeting, 100.0% chance of no change at Nov. 5th meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +170 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -60 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +13 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/tech/biotech/consumer staple sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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