Tuesday, June 09, 2020

Wednesday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 84.25 +3.0 basis points.
  • China Sovereign CDS 48.75 +3.75 points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 61.82 +.05%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.29%
  • S&P 500 futures +.41%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.38%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (CHS)/-.12
  • (GES)/-.91
  • (RRGB)/-1.55
  • (UNFI)/1.41
After the Close:
  • (OXM)/-.10
Economic Releases 
8:30 am EST
  • The CPI MoM for May is estimated unch. versus a -.8% decline in April.
  • The CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for May is estimated unch. versus a -.4% decline in April.
  • Real Avg. Weekly Earnings YoY for May.
10:30 am EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -1,012,830 barrels versus a -2,077,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to fall by -318,730 barrels versus a +2,795,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +3,408,640 barrels versus a +9,934,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to rise by +.43% versus a +.5% gain prior.
2:00 pm EST
  • The Monthly Budget Statement for May is estimated at -$585.0B versus -$207.8B in April.
  • The FOMC is expected to leave the benchmark Fed Funds rate at 0.0-.25%.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Mexican Industrial Production report, weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report and the Deutsche Bank Auto Industry Conference could also impact trading today.
Market Hours
Normal:
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by technology and consumer shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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