Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Stocks Reversing Higher into Afternoon on Earnings Optimism, Short-Covering, Technical Buying, Medical/Alt Energy Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Rising
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.7 -5.5%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk On/Risk Off Index 3,057.0 -4.0 points
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 134.4 -.1%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.9 unch.
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 48.6 -4.3%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 150.0 +62.0 points
  • Total Put/Call .70 -12.5%
  • NYSE Arms .62 -46.6%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.68 -.23%
  • US Energy High-Yield OAS 456.20 -.06%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 59.43 -.27%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 102.0 -2.0 basis points
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 78.19 -2.6%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 165.0 -1.63%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KCCB) 39.10 -.08%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 12.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 17.25 +.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -5.0 -1.75 basis points
  • MBS  5/10 Treasury Spread  64.5 -2.0 basis points
  • IHS Markit CMBX BBB- 6 71.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 60.86 -.15%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 142.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 180.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.3%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 28.90 -2.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 131.6 -2.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 34.5 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.34 +2.0 basis points
  • 88.4% chance of no change at June 16th meeting, 88.4% chance of no change at Sept. 22nd meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +352 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -20 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +51 open in Germany
Portfolio:
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/energy/industrial/biotech/medical sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

No comments: