Thursday, August 25, 2022

Friday Watch

Night Trading 

  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 128.5 -9.0 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 48.75 -5.25 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 48.81 -.03%.  
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 43.90 +1.6%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.19 -1.0 basis point
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 23.7 +.22%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures +.6%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.09%  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (JKS)/.73
After the Close:
  • None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • Advance Goods Trade Balance for July is estimated at -$98.5B versus -$98.6B in June.
  • Wholesale Inventories MoM for July is estimated to rise +1.4% versus a +1.8% gain in June.
  • Retail Inventories MoM for July is estimated to rise +1.2% versus a +2.0% gain in June.
  • Personal Income for July is estimated to rise +.6% versus a +.6% gain in June.
  • Personal Spending for July is estimated to rise +.4% versus a +1.1% gain in June.
  • The PCE Core MoM for July is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.6% gain in June.
  • The PCE Core YoY for July is estimated to rise +4.7% versus a +4.8% gain in June.
10:00 am EST
  • Univ. of Mich. Consumer Confidence revisions.
Upcoming Splits
  • (NDAQ) 3-for-1
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Fed's Powell speaking and the GFK Consumer Confidence could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 50% net long heading into the day.

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