Monday, August 29, 2022

Tuesday Watch

Evening Headlines

Bloomberg:              
Wall Street Journal:  
Fox News:
Zero Hedge:
Twitter:
  • @PeterDClack - The US has 276 million motor vehicles, the UK 31 million. Electrifying all US vehicles alone would need 18 times current global production of cobalt, nine times the neodymium, three quarters of lithium & half the world's copper & rare earths. China dominates all these markets.
  • @endless_frank - I don’t think most Americans realize how dire the situation is in Europe. If your utility bill went from $250/month to $2500, discretionary spending would get obliterated. The EU makes up 25% of $SPX earnings. Corporate earnings will fall off a cliff as the weather cools.
OpenVAERS:
SKirsch.com:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 136.0 +5.0 basis points. 
  • China Sovereign CDS 72.0 +1.75 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 48.82 unch.  
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk Off Index 41.75 +.05%. 
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index -.35 -1.0 basis point
  • Volatility Index(VIX) futures 26.2 +.6%
  • Euro Stoxx 50 futures n/a.
  • S&P 500 futures +.05%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.02%  
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note 
Company/Estimate 
 
Before the Open: 
  • (AMWD)/1.29
  • (BIDU)/10.83
  • (BBY)/1.29
  • (BIG)/-2.47
  • (CONN)/.09
  • (PLAB)/.50
After the Close:
  • (AMBA)/.19
  • (CHPT)/-.20
  • (CHWY)/-.12
  • (CRWD)/.27
  • (HPE)/.48
  • (HPQ)/1.03
  • (PVH)/2.02
Economic Releases
9:00 am EST
  • The FHFA House Price Index MoM for June is estimated to rise +.8% versus a +1.4% gain in May. 
  • The S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM for June is estimated to rise +.9% versus a +1.32% gain in May.
  • The S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY for June is estimated to rise +19.2% versus a +20.5% gain in May.
10:00 am EST
  • The Conference Board Consumer Confidence for Aug. is estimated to rise to 97.6 versus 95.7 in May.
  • JOLT Job Openings for July is estimated to fall to 10375K versus 10698K in June.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone inflation report, Fed's Williams speaking, weekly US retail sales reports and the Jefferies Semi/IT Hardware/Communications Infra Summit could also impact global trading today.
US Equity Market Hours
  • 9:30 am - 4:00 pm EST
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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