Friday, October 07, 2022

Weekly Scoreboard*

 

S&P 500 3,640.68 +1.68%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 29,275.25 +1.83%
  • NASDAQ 10,667.03 +.72%
  • Russell 2000 1,703.38 +2.46%
  • S&P 500 High Beta 59.35 +3.6%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 169.02 +.38%
  • Wilshire 5000 36,669.82 +1.59%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 2,143.19 +1.33%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,369.15 +2.29%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 694.16 -.28%
  • MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,069.86 +.4%
  • NYSE Technology 2,512.53 +1.6%
  • Transports 12,478.14 +3.43%
  • Utilities 860.30 -3.2%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 65.58 +1.3%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 35.75 +1.93%
  • HFRX Equity Hedge 1,436.13 +.91%
  • HFRX Equity Market Neutral 915.56 +.09%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 440,924 +.53%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -359 +1,861
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -29.2 +5.0%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 226,080 -5.8%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,504,991 +1.6%
  • Total Put/Call .96 -12.7%
  • OEX Put/Call .71 +11.1%
  • ISE Sentiment 96.0 -6.0 points
  • NYSE Arms .99 +3.2
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 49.1 +7.4%
  • Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 1.78 +19.0 basis points
  • Volatility(VIX) 31.5 -.5%
  • DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.31% -8.4%
  • CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 50.0 +3.8%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 12.3 -5.61%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 12.4 -.4%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 14,151.15 +1.39%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  38.1 +25.5 points
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.578 Trillion -.26%
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$6.256 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 23.9 +19.5%
  • AAII % Bears 54.8 -9.9%
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 282.26 +5.2%
  • Crude Oil 92.24 +15.9%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 273.72 +15.6%
  • Natural Gas 6.82 -.1%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 156.21 euros/megawatt-hour -16.1%
  • Heating Oil 401.01 +18.7% 
  • Newcastle Coal 380.0 (1,000/metric ton) -7.1%
  • Gold 1,699.60 +2.34%
  • Silver 20.22 +6.3%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 419.32 +4.6%
  • Copper 338.90 -1.2%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 365.0 USD/Metric Tonne unch.
  • China Iron Ore Spot 93.60 USD/Metric Tonne -2.4%
  • Lumber  448.70 +5.4%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,515.25 +1.1%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 575.0 USD/Short Ton -4.2%
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.89% +46.0 basis points
  • ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -9.9% +.2 percentage point
  • Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 50.0% unch.
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.07 -26.3%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 180.13 +68.3%
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 235.92 -.13:  Growth Rate +15.6% -.2 percentage point, P/E 15.6 +.1 point
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 5.2 -12.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 1.9 +1.7 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.9 +1.5 points
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point rate hike, 15.7%(-27.8 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike and 84.3%(+27.8 percentage points) chance of +75.0 basis point hike on 11/2 to 3.75-4.0%
  • US Dollar Index 112.56 +.35%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,601.81 +.61%
  • Bitcoin/USD 19,390.90 +.8%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 146.22 +.04%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) -43.75 -2.0 basis points
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.87% +14.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.724 Trillion -.41%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.20 +1.8%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 209.28 -3.5%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 251.0 +10.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.1 -11.1%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 100.46 -8.7%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 296.66 -5.3%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.14 +1.0%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 56.67 -2.5%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.56 unch.
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.3% unch.
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +12.5% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +11.4% unch.
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +5.11% unch.: CPI YoY +8.20% unch.
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.27% +12.0 basis points
  • TED Spread 47.75 +2.75 basis points
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.0 +2.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -61.0 +5.25 basis points
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 100.68 -6.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 359.0 -11.1
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 435.0 +24.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 149.44 -2.8%
  • Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 426.64 +22.7%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 315.40 -5.3%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 173.0 +3.0 basis points
  • iShares CMBS ETF 45.42 -.86%
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .79 +13.0 basis points
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 4.1 unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,243.40 +1.1%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 206,500 +.12%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.0% unch.
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 47.2 -.25%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.97% +14.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 218,700 -14.2%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +11.2% +30.0 basis points
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 .6% +2.4 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $60.8M +14.5%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.89/gallon +.09/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,992 +13.2%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,328.81 n/a
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 45.0 -10.0%
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 51.5 -5.5%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 261,448 +1.4%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,361,680 +25.7%
  • US Covid-19:  77 infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 4.4%(-1.6 percentage points) of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) -28/100K people from prior report
  • US Covid-19:  New patient hospital admissions per 100K -84.3%(-1.6 percentage points) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
  • Mid-Cap Growth +3.1%
Worst Performing Style
  •  Large-Cap Growth +1.5%
Leading Sectors
  • Oil Service +16.6%
  • Energy +14.5%
  • Marijuana +13.3%
  • Gambling +10.1%
  • Steel +9.4%
Lagging Sectors
  • Healthcare Providers -.1%
  • Telecom -2.4%
  • Utilities -2.7%
  • Alt Energy -2.8%
  • REITs -4.9%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (4)
  • AMBC, DXCM, SPB and HAL
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (32)
  • AMT, LAD, SUI, FBC, EPAM, TDC, MDRX, GPRE, STZ, NEOG, NRIX, LOVE, NCLH, NUVA, MPW, AORT, VFC, TRUP, OSH, TSLA, DOCU, LUNG, RUN, SMTC, BLNK, ALGT, NVRO, ACCD, GNRC, CVNA, W and ANGO
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change

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