S&P 500 3,591.12 -1.33% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 29,662.77 +1.24%
- NASDAQ 10,371.16 -2.67%
- Russell 2000 1,687.82 -.77%
- S&P 500 High Beta 56.35 -5.2%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 159.27 -5.2%
- Wilshire 5000 36,170.63 -4.33%
- Russell 1000 Growth 2,088.55 -2.5%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,360.96 -.53%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 704.13 +1.6%
- MSCI Cyclicals-Defensives Spread 1,036.45 -1.6%
- NYSE Technology 2,395.90 -5.1%
- Transports 12,535.85 +.49%
- Utilities 847.42 -1.88%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 66.11 +1.2%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 34.36 -3.76%
- HFRX Equity Hedge 1,422.74 -.39%
- HFRX Equity Market Neutral 917.19 -.07%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 435,929 -1.1%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -2,849 -2,490
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -30.8 -5.3%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 241,999 +7.0%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,495,538 -.63%
- Total Put/Call .80 -23.5%
- OEX Put/Call .91 +30.5%
- ISE Sentiment 98.0 +2.0 points
- NYSE Arms 1.42 +3.1%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 48.7 -.81%
- Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index + Bubbles 1.59 -19.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 32.7 +4.11%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 2.75% +109.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 Implied Correlation Index 52.8 +3.8%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 12.7 +3.3%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 12.6 +1.3%
- Smart Money Flow Index 14,570.58 +3.8%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 19.8 -18.3 points
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $4.588 Trillion +.22%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$1.384 Million
- AAII % Bulls 20.4 -14.6%
- AAII % Bears 55.9 +2.0%
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 282.49 +.08%
- Crude Oil 85.52 -8.0%
- Reformulated Gasoline 262.15 -4.9%
- Natural Gas 6.44 -2.8%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 142.0 euros/megawatt-hour -9.3%
- Heating Oil 397.74 -.9%
- Newcastle Coal 395.0 (1,000/metric ton) +4.0%
- Gold 1,641.73 -3.1%
- Silver 18.19 -10.0%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 415.92 +1.2%
- Copper 340.95 +1.1%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 363.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.55%
- China Iron Ore Spot 92.80 USD/Metric Tonne -3.9
%
- Lumber 489.60 +10.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,512.86 -.04%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 580.0 USD/Short Ton +.88%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast +2.89% unch.
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate -12.0% -2.1 percentage points
- Bloomberg US Recession Probability Next 12 Months 60.0% +10.0 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.19 -4.0%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 134.43 +29.0%
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 235.19 -.73: Growth Rate +15.3% -.3 percentage point, P/E 15.4 -.2 point
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 17.4 +12.2 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 5.7 +3.8 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -3.7 -.8 point
- Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point rate hike, 0.0%(-18.9 percentage points) chance of +50.0 basis point hike and 99.3%(+18.2 percentage points) chance of +75.0 basis point hike on 11/2 to 3.75-4.0%
- US Dollar Index 113.38 +.51%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,582.98 -.86%
- Bitcoin/USD 19,369.50 -.82%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 149.21 +2.3%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -48.75 -5.0 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.02% +14.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $8.724 Trillion unch.
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 30.14 +7.5%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 217.64 +4.5%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 245.0 -6.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 42.93 +1.9%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 113.43 +12.0%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 311.78 +4.8%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.64 +1.3%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 60.18 +3.3%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 25.05 -1.73%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.4% +10.0 basis points
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +11.0% -150.0 basis points
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +11.2% -20.0 basis points
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +5.16% +5.0 basis points: CPI YoY +8.13% -7.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.39% +12.0 basis points
- TED Spread 36.0 -11.75 basis points
- 2-Year Swap Spread 36.5 +4.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -69.75 -8.75 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 102.93 +1.8%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 366.0 +2.6%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 445.0 +10.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 145.25 -.04%
- Credit Suisse Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 436.0 +6.8%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 334.05 +5.8%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 177.0 +4.0 basis points
- iShares CMBS ETF 45.09 -.35%
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .83 +4.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change 4.1 unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding 1,255.50 +1.0%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 211,500 +2.42%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.0% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 47.4 +.49%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.17% +20.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 214,300 -2.01%
- Weekly Retail Sales +8.3% -290.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change from 2019 .4% -.2 percentage point
- Box Office Weekly Gross $80.6M -2.4%
- Nationwide Gas $3.90/gallon +.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,818 -7.3%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,026.26 -13.0%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 47.5 +5.6%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 55.7 +8.3%
- Rail Freight Carloads 261,483 +.01%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,396,663 +19.2%
- US Covid-19: 84
infections/100K people(last 7 days total). 4.8%(+.4 percentage point)
of peak on 1/14/22(1,740) +7/100K people from prior report
- US Covid-19: New patient hospital admissions per 100K -84.8%(-.5 percentage point) from peak 7-day avg. of 1/9/22-1/15/22
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value -.3%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Growth -3.4%
Leading Sectors
- Foods +2.9%
- Restaurants +2.2%
- Insurance +1.7%
- Banks +1.4%
- Pharma +1.2%
Lagging Sectors
- Social Media -6.4%
- Gold & Silver -6.8%
- Alt Energy -6.9%
- Semis -7.3%
- Gambling -11.2%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (7)
- RETA, WAFD, AVEO, FGEN, BGNE, USB and WFC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (63)
- OMCL,
FND, DISH, ACM, MANH, ROL, BRZE, AMZN, OGN, AJG, AMD, HEI/A, SBNY,
AZEK, CVNA, MRVL, MTCH, LITE, RJF, OVV, AMP, EVA, MS, KLAC, AMAT, NOW,
QTWO, FAST, WSO, ALB, S, DKNG, NVDA, AFRM, NDAQ, LCID, BECN, APPS, DGII,
STOK, BYND, LRCX, GNRC, PLUG, TSLA, ZS, BLDR, SIVB, SQ, MIDD, SCHW,
RUN, DK, SPWR, COIN, NOVA, W, RIVN, HASI, TVTX and FRC
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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