S&P 500 4,773.9 +.53% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 37,564.0 +.73%
- NASDAQ 15,033.2 +.44%
- Russell 2000 2,037.12 +.90%
- NYSE FANG+ 8,735.07 -.28%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 437.17 -.87%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 162.2 +.68%
- Wilshire 5000 47,865.9 +.58%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,055.94 +.21%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,631.37 +.92%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 762.14 +1.7%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 141.3 -.61%
- NYSE Technology 4,332.4 +.54%
- Transports 15,910.7 -.55%
- Utilities 879.1 +1.1%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 91.29 +.87%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 40.24 +2.0%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 194.09 +.57%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 107.55 +.66%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 478,119 +1.04%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 13.9 +27.5%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 910 +651
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -24.1 -15.7%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 182,743 +20.5%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,579,670 -4.3%
- Total Put/Call .97 +4.6%
- OEX Put/Call .90 -17.4%
- ISE Sentiment 133.0 -1.0 point
- NYSE Arms 1.05 +137.2%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 56.1 +1.1%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index n/a
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .36 +63.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 12.44 -7.8%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .71 -16.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 19.0 -5.6%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.11 +.5%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.10 +3.6%
- Smart Money Flow Index 14,373.8 +.58%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 102.7 +5.4
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.886 Trillion +.28%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$5.630 Million
- AAII % Bulls 46.3 -12.5%
- AAII % Bears 25.1 +20.1%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 76.0(Extreme Greed) -2.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 266.38 +.11%
- Crude Oil 71.53/bbl. -3.11%
- Reformulated Gasoline 210.3 -3.9%
- Natural Gas 2.50 -2.4%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 32.3 euros/megawatt-hour -4.8%
- Heating Oil 255.31 -6.4%
- Newcastle Coal 137.0 (1,000/metric ton) -3.0%
- Gold 2,066.54 +.67%
- Silver 23.84 -1.5%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 423.9 +2.4%
- Copper 389.20 -.93%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 421.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.47%
- China Iron Ore Spot 140.3 USD/Metric Tonne +1.3
%
- CME Lumber 543.5 -3.6%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,509.3 -.23%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 322.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 4Q Forecast +2.26% -42.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 34.3% unch.
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.92 +54.5%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 236.9 +33.9%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(17 of 500 reporting) +13.5% unch.
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 243.14 +.39: Growth
Rate +11.7% +.4 percentage point, P/E 19.6 unch.
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.04% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) +n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 288.93 +1.0: Growth Rate +35.5% +.5 percentage point, P/E 30.1 -.3
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 8.2 -10.0 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -41.0 +1.9 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 14.9 -3.4 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 16.5%(+2.0 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 83.5%(-2.0 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 1/31
- US Dollar Index 101.33 -.41%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,739.70 +.89%
- Bitcoin/USD 42,106.9 -3.2%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 167.33 -.63%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -37.25 +5.75 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 3.88% -2.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.676 Trillion -.2%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $2.507 Billion +14.7%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $135.805 Billion +3.4%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.4 -.95%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 171.0 +.69%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 168.0 +10.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 35.61 +.54%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 60.57 -1.1%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 132.3 -.65%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 111.6 +1.5%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 26.76 unch.
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.06 +.17%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 79.62 +.98%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +6.1% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +3.0% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +3.02% unch.: CPI YoY +3.32% -.1 percentage point
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.17% -3.0 basis points
- TED Spread 26.0 -1.0 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -18.5 +3.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.0 +7.0 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 56.5 +1.7%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 163.0 -.71%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 250.0 -69.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 67.58 -.80%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 206.31 -1.2%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 166.53 -.18%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 141.0 -3.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 965.0+2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .76 -3.0 basis points
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -3.0% +30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,270.5B +.7%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 212,000 unch.
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.1 unch.
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.95% -11.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 191,600 unch.
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.50% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +3.0% +5.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $117.4M unch.
- Nationwide Gas $3.12/gallon -.01/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 2,094.0 -10.8%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 909.2 +3.4%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 35.0 +7.7%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 34.0 -5.0%
- Rail Freight Carloads 255,841 -4.6%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,626,371 +.76%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth +1.3%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +.2%
Leading Sectors
- Biotech +4.5%
- Electric Vehicles +3.0%
- Foods +1.8%
- Semis +1.7%
- Computer Services +1.7%
Lagging Sectors
- Energy -1.0%
- Oil Service -1.3%
- Social Media -1.4%
- Education -1.9%
- Shipping -3.3%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (6)
- GRFS, INBX, SATS, GCT, CYTK and ALRM
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (7)
- GEO, UPST, PLL, RIOT, AAOI, MARA and CLSK
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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