S&P 500 5,914.2 +1.0% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 42,328.0 +1.0%
- NASDAQ 19,128.4 +.84%
- Russell 2000 2,072.94 +1.2%
- NYSE FANG+ 13,762.1 +1.4%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 172.4 -.9%
- Wilshire 5000 58,457.6 +1.1%
- Russell 1000 Growth 4,017.1 +1.0%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,855.1 +1.1%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 920.59 +2.4%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 237.94 -.47%
- NYSE Technology 5,669.5 -.41%
- Transports 14,736.1 +.64%
- Utilities 1,041.9 +1.8%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 144.0 +.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 45.56 -1.2%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 216.8 +.7%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 123.7 +.5%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 547,398 +.4%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 12.2 -19.7%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 189 +138
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -20.4 -7.7%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 186,420 +.6%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,873,273 -3.8%
- Total Put/Call .89 -5.3%
- OEX Put/Call 1.07 +38.2%
- ISE Sentiment 128.0 -17.0
- NYSE Arms 1.01 -1.1%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 67.6 -1.6%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .32 +5.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.43 -3.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 19.1 -6.3%
- S&P 500 Intraday % Swing .59 -44.9%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 22.9 +2.7%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.93 -4.4%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.43 -2.5%
- Smart Money Flow Index 22,594.2 -.74%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 88.4 +7.5
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.949 Trillion -.28%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$.117 Million
- AAII % Bulls 32.9 -12.7%
- AAII % Bears 41.9 +14.2%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 61.0 (GREED) -3.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 290.42 -2.0%
- Crude Oil 60.70/bbl. -.2%
- Reformulated Gasoline 203.8 -4.2%
- Natural Gas 3.45 +4.9%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 34.2 euros/megawatt-hour -6.3%
- Heating Oil 201.72 -4.5%
- Newcastle Coal 105.5 (1,000/metric ton) -1.1%
- Gold 3,293.2 -1.9%
- Silver 32.99 -1.4%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 447.63 +.12%
- Copper 469.2 +.31%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 343.0 USD/Metric Tonne +.9%
- China Iron Ore Spot 95.4 USD/Metric Tonne -.7
% China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 8,650.0 USD/metric tonne -4.2%
- CME Lumber 591.0 -1.1%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,423.9 -2.9%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 321.0 USD/Short Ton +1.1%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.8% +1.4 percentage points
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 41.8 +4.8 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.9 -1.6%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 396.2 +57.7%
- Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 7.6 +34.6%
- DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $175.0 Billion($1,086.96 Savings Per Taxpayer) +$5 Billion
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(491 of 500 reporting) +12.5% +1.2 percentage points
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 276.68 +.80: Growth Rate +8.9% -2.9 percentage points, P/E 21.3 +.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.26% -4.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(8 of 10 reporting) +32.5% +3.4 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 428.13 +2.34: Growth Rate +23.8% +.7 percentage point, P/E 32.2 +.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 11.5 +5.5 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 17.7 +5.2 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.0 +8.1 points
- Fed Fund Futures imply 5.4%(-.2 percentage point) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 4.0-4.25%, 94.6%(+.2 percentage point) chance of no change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.5-4.75% on 6/18
- US Dollar Index 99.33 -.6%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,826.6 +.04%
- Bitcoin/USD 104,897.5 -3.3%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 183.77 +.96%
- Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.76 +.4%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) 50.75 -.75 basis point
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.42% -9.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.626 Trillion -.24%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $1.944 Billion +2.8%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 52.05 -4.3%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 217.24 -7.0%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 98.0 -4.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 19.22 -2.1%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 51.61 -3.8%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 161.71 -4.5%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 96.66 -6.4%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.6 -8.4%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.83 -.41%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 121.13 -.70%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.8% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.7% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.0% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.65% +5.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.40% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.83 -15.0 basis points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.35 unch.
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 1.75 basis points -5.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -22.0 +1.5 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -1.0 +2.5 basis points
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 56.2 -4.3%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 247.0 -2.2%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 224.0 -2.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 61.9 -5.6%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 143.79 -6.3%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 172.4 -1.8%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 156.0 -1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 616.0 +1.0 basis point
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .60 -1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.4% +30.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,449.2B +.4%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 230,750 -.11%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% +10.0 basis points
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 53.1 -.54%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.98% +7.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 235,700 -1.2%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.6% unch.
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +11.0% +4.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $144.8M +24.7%
- Nationwide Gas $3.16/gallon -.04/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,353.0 +.9%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,508.4/40 ft Box +10.2%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,117.6 +.92%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.5 -8.3%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 70.6 -17.0%
- Rail Freight Carloads 262,618 +.41%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,626,000 +9.9%
Best Performing Style
- Small-Cap Value +.9%
Worst Performing Style
- Mid-Cap Value +.4%
Leading Sectors
- Airlines +3.6%
- Gambling +3.2%
- Alt Energy +3.0%
- Healthcare Providers +2.5%
- Insurance +2.3%
Lagging Sectors
- Homebuilding -1.3%
- Semis -1.3%
- Road & Rail -1.4%
- Shipping -2.3%
- Electric Vehicles -3.8%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (20)
- STRZ, ULTA, BBNX, MP, TSSI, ZS, U, CNX, LOCO, AKRO, HIMS, SGRY, CLBR, HRTG, CRWV, COST, AVO, ENPH and ALHC
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (18)
- DELL, HLNE, EMN, TWO, BULL, SNY, MRVL, GLXY, IONQ, ALAB, SATS, PD, ESTC, COO, AMBA, GAP, REGN and SMMT
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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