Portfolio Manager's Commentary on Investing and Trading in the U.S. Financial Markets
Friday, June 05, 2009
Links of Interest
Market Performance Summary
Style Performance
Sector Performance
WSJ Data Center
Top 20 Biz Stories
IBD Breaking News
Movers & Shakers
Upgrades/Downgrades
In Play
NYSE Unusual Volume
NASDAQ Unusual Volume
Hot Spots
Option Dragon
NASDAQ 100 Heatmap
Chart Toppers
Real-Time Intraday Quote/Chart
HFR Global Hedge Fund Indices
Thursday, June 04, 2009
Friday Watch
Late-Night Headlines
Bloomberg:
Wall Street Journal:
NY Times:
IBD:
LA Times:
cnet:
Lloyd’s List:
Reuters:
Financial Times:
TimesOnline:
Nikkei English News:
- Hybrid vehicles accounted for 12% of new car sales in
- JPMorgan Chase(JPM) can maintain a strong capital position even without funds from US taxpayers, citing an interview with CEO Jamie Dimon. The NY-based company is ready to repay funds from the TARP as early as this month, Dimon said. JPMorgan would have a Tier 1 Capital ratio of 9.3%, even without the funding, he said.
Edaily:
- The Bank of Korea doesn’t plan to cut the portion of the nation’s foreign-currency reserves invested in US Treasuries.
Mainichi:
- The Bank of Japan may upgrade its economic assessment for two months in a row at a two-day policy meeting that begins June 15. The bank may say this month that the pace of economic deterioration is slowing.
Late Buy/Sell Recommendations
Citigroup:
- Reiterated Buy on (XL), target $15, added to Top Picks Live list.
- Downgraded (HOG) to (SELL), target $16, added to Top Picks Live list.
Night Trading
Asian Indices are +.25% to +1.25% on average.
S&P 500 futures +.09%.
NASDAQ 100 futures +.03%.
Morning Preview
US AM Market Call
NASDAQ 100 Pre-Market Indicator/Heat Map
Pre-market Commentary
Pre-market Stock Quote/Chart
Global Commentary
WSJ Intl Markets Performance
Commodity Futures
Top 25 Stories
Top 20 Business Stories
Today in IBD
In Play
Bond Ticker
Economic Preview/Calendar
Earnings Calendar
Who’s Speaking?
Upgrades/Downgrades
Rasmussen Business/Economy Polling
Earnings of Note
Company/EPS Estimate
- None of note
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
- The Change in Non-farm Payrolls for May is estimated at -520K versus -539K in April.
- The Unemployment Rate for May is estimated to rise to 9.2% versus 8.9% in April.
- Average Hourly Earnings for May are estimated to rise .1% versus a .1% gain in April.
3:00 pm EST
- Consumer Credit for April is estimated at -$6.0B versus -$11.1B in March.
Upcoming Splits
- None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed’s Rosengren speaking, Yellen and Kohn speaking in Panel Discussion, (WMT) analyst meeting and the Sandler O’Neil Electronic Trading Conference could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are higher, boosted by commodity and automaker stocks in the region. I expect US equities to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.
Stocks Finish at Session Highs, Boosted by Financial, Commodity, Construction and REIT Shares
Market Summary
Top 20 Biz Stories
Today’s Movers
Market Performance Summary
WSJ Data Center
Sector Performance
ETF Performance
Style Performance
Commodity Futures
S&P 500 Gallery View
Timely Economic Charts
GuruFocus.com
PM Market Call
After-hours Commentary
After-hours Movers
After-hours Real-Time Stock Bid/Ask
After-hours Stock Quote
After-hours Stock Chart
In Play
Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Less Economic Fear, Diminishing Financial Sector Pessimism, Short-Covering
Today's Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Shares of US banks are in “the beginning stages of a multi-year bull market” and will perform better than benchmark stock indexes, according to analysts at RBC Capital Markets. RBC raised its rating on the group to “overweight” from “sector weight” today. Earnings potential has replaced “burn down analysis” as the main catalyst for stock price moves, the report said.
Wall Street Journal:
CNBC:
- Billionaire investor Carl Icahn told CNBC in a telephone interview that he thinks the future of large pharmaceutical companies is in buying biotechnology companies.
NY Times:
Forbes:
USAToday:
Politico:
LATimes:
American Chronicle:
- US President Barack Obama called for a new beginning in relations between America and the Muslim world on Thursday with a dramatic address in Cairo that sought to overcome decades of deep mistrust. Drawing repeated rounds of applause as he quoted the Koran and spoke frankly to every segment of Muslim society – young people, women, leaders – Mr Obama appeared as a defender of Islam. Pointing to the glorious days of Muslim civilization, and to his own family background, he said in an hour-long speech: “I consider my responsibility as president of the US to fight against negative stereotypes of Islam whenever they appear.” The much-awaited speech in the domed hall of Cairo University did not lay out a detailed plan for Middle East peace, as some governments in the region had hoped. Mr Obama said the US relationship with Israel was “unbreakable” and called on Palestinians to pursue their aspirations for statehood peacefully. But he also had sharp words for Jewish state, insisting that the US “does not recognize the legitimacy of continued Israeli settlements” on occupied Palestinian land, and calling on Israel to improve the daily lives of Palestinians. He went further: “Let there be no doubt... the situation for the Palestinian people is intolerable,” he said, adding that America would not turn its back to the legitimate aspirations for dignity and a state of their own. For young people in the region, it was perhaps the last part of the speech that was most appealing, as Mr Obama promised to increase scholarships to the US, host a summit on entrepreneurship, and launch a fund to support technological development. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, weighed in on Wednesday, hours before Mr Obama spoke in Cairo, to remind Muslims that they hated the US. ”The nations in the region hate the US from the bottom of their hearts because they have seen violence, military intervention and discrimination,” Mr Khamenei said. ”The new US government seeks to transform this image. I say firmly, that this will not be achieved by talking, speech and slogans.”
Bear Radar
Style Underperformer:
Mid-cap Growth (+.64%)
Sector Underperformers:
Education (-2.90%), Medical Equipment (-2.49%) and Airlines (-1.11%)
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
ANF, GPS, FDO, BAX, RTP, TBSI, LNCR, UTIW, PLCE, MATK and ICON
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
1) BAX 2) HNT 3) CAH 4) TIVO 5) MTL