- Gold may soon go the way of the high-technology stocks, inflated property values and record oil costs as the bubble bursts for bullion prices that surged to a record this year, said Leonard Kaplan at Prospector Asset Management.Gold’s chart is tracing a similar patter to past price bubbles in Nasdaq-traded stocks, real estate and oil. “We’re in a bubble economy,” Kaplan, Prospector Asset’s president, said by telephone. First it was stocks, and then real estate.Last year, oil was in a bubble.Now gold is in a bubble.”
- The doctor will see you now. Or at least in the few seconds it takes AT&T(T) to relay your vital signs over its broadband network. The telecommunications giant has big plans to establish a foothold in the "telehealth" industry, an emerging field that links patients and physicians across the country via video and medical-information technology. "These days, everybody is talking about medical care: Who gets it? Who pays for it? Who decides?" said Robert Miller, executive director of technical research at AT&T and a 40-year veteran at the company’s Florham Park research labs. "But few people are working on a technology solution that would lower costs and make medical care better at the same time." AT&T scientist have spent the past year working on prototypes of products aimed at the home health care market. The idea is to make everyday household items "part of the network cloud," said Miller, holding up a pair of fuzzy bedroom slippers. They look perfectly ordinary, but they are actually one of many telehealth products in the pipeline at AT&T.
LATimes:
- If you're thinking about applying for the new $6,500 home buyer federal tax credit or the extended $8,000 version, the Internal Revenue Service has just issued its first formal guidelines for you. Tops on the agency's list of advice: Cool it for a couple of weeks. Even if you qualify for one of the credits, don't send in any requests to the IRS quite yet. Wait until later this month when the agency publishes its revised Form 5405 with the key instructions needed to get you a check from the government. The forthcoming version of the form will incorporate the major changes to the tax credit program made by Congress in legislation signed by President Obama on Nov. 6. These include expanded income limits, a cap on home prices, additional documentation requirements and prohibitions against claims by dependents.
- Google(GOOG) Ready To Advance In Russia With New Search Deal. About three months ago, Google Russia lost its CTO to Mail.ru as she became the company's deputy CTO. Now, it looks like a reunion of sorts may take place, as reports indicate that Google Russia and Mail.ru have reached a search deal. Yandex, the dominant search engine in Russia, has been Mail.ru's default search provider since January of 2006. However, that deal will soon expire, and apparently Google convinced Yandex that it provides a better search experience.
- SAP AG Chief Executive Officer Leo Apotheker said the information technology industry will “take off” because of a “new wave” of technologies, citing an interview. The software business will also grow, Apotheker said.The IT sector will create more jobs in Germany than “traditional industry,” the SAP CEO said.
- I am a primary care internist. All the health care reforms before Congress are counting on me and other doctors to be ready and willing to accept the millions of new patients with shiny new insurance cards. But this concept is a dream, or worse, a nightmare. In reality, my species of doctor will soon be extinct, replaced by nurse practitioners. The growing doctor shortage in the U.S. is in the way of any real health care reform.
- The guy lucky enough to have gotten in on Facebook revolution at the beginning is poised to get another dose of misfortune when it comes to his hedge fund. Peter Thiel, the PayPal co-founder who struck gold when he invested $500,000 in Facebook five years ago, is facing a second consecutive year of losses at his hedge fund Clarium. The onetime Silicon Valley star's hedge fund is down 16.4 percent through November, according to performance data reviewed by The Post. That leaves the former PayPal CEO just four weeks to turn around Clarium's fortunes -- an unlikely feat. Clarium's assets also remain down, though so far they are holding steady at $1.6 billion as of Nov. 30. Last summer, Clarium boasted assets of $7.3 billion before things turned sour. The disappointing performance figures have become a stain on the Silicon Valley venture capitalist's otherwise stellar career, and come at a time when most funds are up, with some even erasing the losses they sustained in 2008. There are questions about Clarium's long-term viability should this year's performance fail to bring in fees.
- They were Raj Rajaratnam's friends, college classmates, business associates and former employees, but federal prosecutors say they doubled as the hedge fund billionaire's secret network of Silicon Valley insiders. The spotlight in the Galleon insider trading scandal has focused on Rajaratnam, a larger-than-life operator of the $7 billion Galleon hedge fund in New York, but the case also has upended the lives of his contacts in the valley. Many are successful valley executives who now are caught in the glare of a national scandal. A few have pleaded guilty and turned against Rajaratnam. Others are fighting criminal charges in the case. Still others who haven't been charged have been put on leave by their employers or have resigned prestigious directorships in public companies. If the government charges are true, the unanswered question is why these friends and associates risked reputation and career to exchange confidential information about valley companies with a hedge fund operator.
- Citigroup(C) is racing against the clock to convince US authorities that it be allowed to repay $20bn of bail-out funds, with insiders and regulators arguing that unless the bank acts in the next 10 days it will have to wait for more than a month. The short window for a decision on the repayment of funds from the troubled asset relief program raises the stakes for Citi in its quest to free itself from the shackles of the government, which also owns a 34 per cent stake in the lender. Separately, the Kuwait Investment Authority, the Gulf state’s sovereign wealth fund, has made a $1.1bn profit after selling its entire 5 per cent stake in Citi for $4.1bn – less than two years after acquiring preferred shares in the ailing bank during the financial crisis. Citi’s executives have been lobbying Washington to be allowed to repay Tarp, arguing that the bank has cash reserves of more than $240bn and its financial performance is improving. However, Citi’s situation is further complicated by the US government stake. People close to the situation said the government was willing to co-ordinate a sale of at least part of its stake with Citi’s own capital-raising but the tight timing – and the authorities’ lingering concerns over the bank’s health – might delay that. Citi declined to comment but insiders acknowledged that unless it could launch a share offering by December 14 or 15, it would probably have to wait until at least late January.
- Fears are growing among western banks that Dubai Holding, the personal investment vehicle of the emirate’s ruler, Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al-Maktoum, will be the next state-owned Dubai company to default. The conglomerate went on a debt-fuelled spending spree in the past decade, borrowing $12 billion (£7.3 billion) to fund ambitious projects in Dubai and to create a private equity arm that bought stakes in Tussauds and the budget hotel chain Travelodge. Details of the main lenders to Dubai Holding are not public but bankers in Dubai say the group borrowed from international banks, including Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC, as well as local lenders. One official close to the company conceded the firm was “a bloody mess” and its boss, Mohammed Gergawi, a close confidant of Maktoum, had been “in denial” about the problems it faced.
Intl. Business Times:
- Financial stocks are still top bets among some of the largest hedge funds, which continued piling into big banks like JPMorgan Chase & Co(JPM) and Citigroup Inc(C) in the third quarter. Overall, hedge funds retained big bets on financial stocks as they made Citigroup the biggest recipient of increases to existing positions. Paulson bought into Citigroup in the third quarter with a hefty 300 million share stake. Other banks among the top 10 increases to existing positions included JPMorgan, Citizens Republic Bancorp Inc (CRBC) and Huntington Bancshares Inc (HBAN). Hedge funds have been exposed to the banking sector because of its potential upside after financials were at the epicenter of the credit crunch and suffered the most during the bear market. "If you want an economically sensitive vehicle, there's none better," said Anton Schutz, president of Mendon Capital Advisors Corp, an adviser to funds with financial assets. "And if you believe that there's a recovery coming ... I think there's a reasonably good reason why people are here," Schutz said.
Berliner Zeitung:
- Germany's VDMA plant and machinery makers' association expects the economy to go through a credit squeeze next year that will increase the number of company insolvencies. Production in the plant and machinery industry will drop 20% this year, VDMA board member Josef Trischel said.
Corriere della Sera:
- The current economic recovery may be stronger than forecast, though the lack of private demand may make growth hard to sustain once the effects of government stimulus wear off, the new chief economist for the OECD said in an interview.
- China's economy still faces the twin problems of "insufficient" domestic demand and weak external environment next year, citing Yao Jingyuan, the statistics bureau's chief economist.
Weekend Recommendations
Barron's: - Made positive comments on (DTV), (S), (KMP), (T), (MRK), (F), (AAPL), (AFL), (QCOM), (AMX) and (DOW).
Citigroup:
- Reiterated Buy on (GOOG), target $640.
- Reiterated Buy on (NVDA), target raised to $21.
- Reiterated Buy on (GLW), target $20.50.
- Reiterated Buy on (AMD), target raised to $11.
- Reiterated Buy on (MGA), target $60.
Night Trading
Asian indices are -.50% to +1.25% on avg.
Asia Ex-Japan Inv Grade CDS Index 99.50 -7.0 basis points.
S&P 500 futures -.10%.
NASDAQ 100 futures -.13%.
- Consumer Credit for October is estimated at -$9.3B versus -$14.8B in September.
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed's Bernanke speaking, Fed's Dudley speaking, Copenhagen Climate Conference, UBS Media/Communications Conference, (MET) investor day, (AKAM) analyst day and the (SLG) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by financial and technology stocks in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the week.