BOTTOM LINE: The Portfolio is slightly lower into the final hour on losses in my Technology longs and Financial longs. I have not traded today, thus leaving the Portfolio 75% net long. The tone of the market is mildly negative as the advance/decline line is slightly lower, sector performance is mixed and volume is below average. Investor anxiety is very high. Today’s overall market action is mildly bearish. The VIX is rising +4.8% and is high at 22.27. The ISE Sentiment Index is around average at 134.0 and the total put/call is above average at .91. Finally, the NYSE Arms has been running high most of the day, hitting 1.69 at its intraday peak, and is currently 1.47. The Euro Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index is falling -.35% to 69.15 basis points. This index is down from its record March 10th high of 208.75. The North American Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index is rising +.33% 97.81 basis points. This index is also well below its Dec. 5th record high of 285.99. The TED spread is +2 basis points to 24 basis points. The TED spread is now down 442 basis points since its all-time high of 463 basis points on October 10th. The 2-year swap spread is rising +.83% to 38.19 basis points. The Libor-OIS spread is +1 basis point to 11 basis points. The 10-year TIPS spread, a good gauge of inflation expectations, is -1 basis point to 2.17%, which is down -48 basis points since July 7th. The 3-month T-Bill is yielding .02%, which is down -2 basis points today.A number of sectors are substantially outperforming today.Retail, HMO, Hospital, Wireless, Telecom, Steel, Alt Energy, Utility and Defense shares are all rising .5%+ on the day.The bears have once again been unable to take meaningful advantage of another reversal lower.The S&P 500 is holding above 1,100 despite (XLF)/(IYR) weakness.Investor angst has been relatively high today on low volume, which is also a positive.Consumer Credit for October also came in better than estimates.On the negative side, some market leading stocks are still underperforming the broad market.As well, recent good news has still failed to propel the major averages from their two-month trading ranges.Nikkei futures indicate a -87 open in Japan and DAX futures indicate a -11 open in Germany tomorrow. I expect US stocks to trade mixed-to-higher into the close from current levels on short covering, technical buying, less economic fear, lower energy prices, declining long-term rates and seasonal strength.
- Gold may soon go the way of the high-technology stocks, inflated property values and record oil costs as the bubble bursts for bullion prices that surged to a record this year, said Leonard Kaplan at Prospector Asset Management.Gold’s chart is tracing a similar patter to past price bubbles in Nasdaq-traded stocks, real estate and oil. “We’re in a bubble economy,” Kaplan, Prospector Asset’s president, said by telephone. First it was stocks, and then real estate.Last year, oil was in a bubble.Now gold is in a bubble.”
- The doctor will see you now. Or at least in the few seconds it takes AT&T(T) to relay your vital signs over its broadband network. The telecommunications giant has big plans to establish a foothold in the "telehealth" industry, an emerging field that links patients and physicians across the country via video and medical-information technology. "These days, everybody is talking about medical care: Who gets it? Who pays for it? Who decides?" said Robert Miller, executive director of technical research at AT&T and a 40-year veteran at the company’s Florham Park research labs. "But few people are working on a technology solution that would lower costs and make medical care better at the same time." AT&T scientist have spent the past year working on prototypes of products aimed at the home health care market. The idea is to make everyday household items "part of the network cloud," said Miller, holding up a pair of fuzzy bedroom slippers. They look perfectly ordinary, but they are actually one of many telehealth products in the pipeline at AT&T.
LATimes:
- If you're thinking about applying for the new $6,500 home buyer federal tax credit or the extended $8,000 version, the Internal Revenue Service has just issued its first formal guidelines for you. Tops on the agency's list of advice: Cool it for a couple of weeks. Even if you qualify for one of the credits, don't send in any requests to the IRS quite yet. Wait until later this month when the agency publishes its revised Form 5405 with the key instructions needed to get you a check from the government. The forthcoming version of the form will incorporate the major changes to the tax credit program made by Congress in legislation signed by President Obama on Nov. 6. These include expanded income limits, a cap on home prices, additional documentation requirements and prohibitions against claims by dependents.
- Google(GOOG) Ready To Advance In Russia With New Search Deal. About three months ago, Google Russia lost its CTO to Mail.ru as she became the company's deputy CTO. Now, it looks like a reunion of sorts may take place, as reports indicate that Google Russia and Mail.ru have reached a search deal. Yandex, the dominant search engine in Russia, has been Mail.ru's default search provider since January of 2006. However, that deal will soon expire, and apparently Google convinced Yandex that it provides a better search experience.
- SAP AG Chief Executive Officer Leo Apotheker said the information technology industry will “take off” because of a “new wave” of technologies, citing an interview. The software business will also grow, Apotheker said.The IT sector will create more jobs in Germany than “traditional industry,” the SAP CEO said.