Friday, June 13, 2025

Weekly Scoreboard*


S&P 500 5,969.4 -.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.

Indices

  • DJIA 42,135.9 -1.5%
  • NASDAQ 19,405.0 -.7%
  • Russell 2000 2,098.1 -1.2%
  • NYSE FANG+ 14,058.2 -.8%
  • Goldman 50 Most Shorted 191.6 +.4%
  • Wilshire 5000 59,019.2 -.7%
  • Russell 1000 Growth 4,076.1 -.5%
  • Russell 1000 Value 1,862.0 -.5%
  • S&P 500 Consumer Staples 892.0 -1.2%
  • Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Index(Ex Telecom) 241.0 -.1%
  • NYSE Technology 5,885.7 +.3%
  • Transports 14,658.7 -1.6%
  • Utilities 1,038.8 +.5%
  • Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 141.59 -3.1%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets 47.1 +.4%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 220.2 +1.1%
  • Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 125.0 +.5%
Sentiment/Internals
  • NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 554,528 +.96%
  • Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 12.9 -3.4%
  • Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 616 -24
  • Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -18.6 -1.3%
  • CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 167,957 +1.4%
  • CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 2,010,3132 +3.4%
  • Total Put/Call .85 -1.2%
  • OEX Put/Call 1.01 +9.5%
  • ISE Sentiment 139.0 -11.0
  • NYSE Arms .54 -19.7%
  • Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 66.6 -6.1%
  • Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .40 +6.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.19 -25.0 basis point
  • Volatility(VIX) 21.1 +27.9%
  • NASDAQ Intraday % Swing 1.15 +74.3%
  • CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 23.7 +18.5%
  • G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 8.65 -.5%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 8.0 -1.6%
  • Smart Money Flow Index 22,960.4 +.02%
  • NAAIM Exposure Index  82.7 +1.1
  • ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $7.016 Trillion unch.
  • ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$12.965 Million
  • AAII % Bulls 36.7 +12.2%
  • AAII % Bears 33.6 -18.8%
  • CNN Fear & Greed Index 62.0 (GREED) -1.0
Futures Spot Prices
  • CRB Index 309.9 +1.4%
  • Crude Oil 73.60/bbl. +13.2%
  • Reformulated Gasoline 224.4 +7.5%
  • Natural Gas 3.60 -4.9%
  • Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 37.9 euros/megawatt-hour +3.8%
  • Heating Oil 239.0 +11.1% 
  • Newcastle Coal 110.0 (1,000/metric ton) -1.8%
  • Gold 3,437.6 +3.8%
  • Silver 36.3 +.8%
  • S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 454.1 +.8%
  • Copper 479.2 -.8%
  • US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 336.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.6%
  • China Iron Ore Spot 94.1 USD/Metric Tonne -.6%
  • China Battery Grade Lithium Carbonate 8,650.0 USD/metric tonne unch.
  • CME Lumber  627.0 +3.8%
  • UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,428.9 -.6%
  • US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 327.5 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 Forecast +3.8% unch.
  • US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 40.7 -.4 percentage point
  • NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.88 +6.8%
  • US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 672.3 +79.9%
  • Bloomberg Global Trade Policy Uncertainty Index 5.1 -13.3%
  • DOGE Total Taxpayer Dollars Saved $180.0 Billion($1,118.01 Savings Per Taxpayer) unch.
  • S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(499 of 500 reporting) +12.7% unch.
  • S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 277.79 +.66:  Growth Rate +9.3% +.4 percentage point, P/E 21.8 +.5
  • S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 13.21% -3.0 basis points
  • NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(10 of 10 reporting) +33.0% unch.
  • NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 431.52 +2.30: Growth Rate +15.6% +.7 percentage point, P/E 33.0 +.2
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -8.4 -2.5 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 26.4 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 33.5 -.9 point
  • Fed Fund Futures imply 0.0%(-2.6 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis point cut to 4.0-4.25%, 99.7%(+2.3 percentage points) chance of no change, 0.3%(+.3 percentage point) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 4.5-4.75% on 6/18
  • US Dollar Index 98.2 -1.0%
  • MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,839.3 +.41%
  • Bitcoin/USD 105,363.5 -1.1%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 187.0 +.7%
  • Swiss Franc/Offshore Chinese Renminbi Cross 8.86 +1.4%
  • Yield Curve(2s/10s) 46.25 +.5 basis point
  • 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.42% -7.0 basis points
  • Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $6.630 Trillion +.07%
  • Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $3.067 Billion +15.5%
  • U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 47.4 -3.6%
  • Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 211.30 -.01%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 95.0 +2.0 basis points
  • UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 17.6 -2.6%
  • China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 46.8 -3.9%
  • Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 153.2 -3.5%
  • Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 122.8 +27.1%
  • South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 27.2 -2.4%
  • China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 23.9 +.6%
  • China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 120.38 +.8%
  • Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +3.9% +10.0 basis points
  • Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.3% unch.
  • US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.9% +20.0 basis points
  • CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +3.1% +10.0 basis points
  • Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.58% -7.0 basis points: CPI YoY +2.61% +21.0 basis points 
  • 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.61 -15.0 basis points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.30 -2.0 basis points
  • Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 8.0 basis points +1.0 basis point 
  • 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -23.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -2.75 -.75 basis point
  • N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 55.91 +3.5%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 200.0 -11.0
  • Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 221.0 -14.0
  • European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 62.1 +3.7%
  • Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 142.6 +1.0%
  • Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 167.7 +1.8%
  • MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 149.0 -3.0 basis points
  • Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 604.0 -8.0 basis points
  • Avg. Auto ABS OAS .57 unch.
  • M2 Money Supply YoY % Change +4.4% unch.
  • Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,470.7B +.1%
  • 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 240,250 +2.1%
  • Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.3% +10.0 basis points
  • Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 54.3 +6.4%
  • Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 6.88% -4.0 basis points
  • Weekly Mortgage Applications 254,600 +12.5%
  • Weekly Retail Sales +4.7% -.8 percentage point
  • OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY +11.0% +4.0 percentage points
  • Box Office Weekly Gross $398.6M +175.1%
  • Nationwide Gas $3.13/gallon -.01/gallon
  • Baltic Dry Index 1,904.0 +16.6%
  • Drewry World Container Freight Index $3,543.2/40 ft Box +.5%
  • China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 1,243.0 +7.6%
  • Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 27.5 unch.
  • Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 71.4 +17.1%
  • Rail Freight Carloads 258,506 +7.6%
  • TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,887,807 +24.0%
Best Performing Style
  • Large-Cap Value -1.2%
Worst Performing Style
  • Small-Cap Growth -2.0%
Leading Sectors
  • Oil Service +7.1%
  • Energy +6.7%
  • Alt Energy +4.1%
  • Shipping +3.6%
  • Gold & Silver +3.5%
Lagging Sectors
  • Regional Banks -2.9%
  • Insurance -3.3%
  • Retail -3.3%
  • Education -5.2%
  • Airlines -8.2%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (40)
  • CCCMU, URGN, ELVN, VSAT, PHAT, RH, DAR, METC, ORCL, ASTS, BG, CF, CLMT, FRO, MEOH, LPG, WHR, CIVI, TIC, ADM, WDS, NRDS, HAL, TEN, EQNR, CNR, APA, SU, MOS, NOC, MYE, LMT, NTR, AU, LEU, RTX, EOG, OXY, MRCY, MYE and MUR
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (10)
  • GTLB, CUK, KEP, MA, V, SLP, ADBE, PRO, DAVE and SBET
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change


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