Bloomberg:
- German Exports Fell in February Amid Euro-Area Recession. German exports fell more than
economists forecast in February as the euro area, the country’s
biggest trading partner, struggled to emerge from recession. Exports, adjusted for working days and seasonal changes,
dropped 1.5 percent from January, when they gained 1.3 percent,
the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today.
Economists forecast a 0.3 percent decline, according to the
median of 15 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Imports fell
3.8 percent. Shipments from Germany to the euro area dropped 4.1 percent
in February from a year ago, while those to the European Union
decreased 3.4 percent. Exports to non-EU members fell 1.9
percent, today’s report showed.
- European Stocks Are Little Changed; Lagardere Falls. European (SXXP) stocks climbed as mining shares rallied and Alcoa Inc. began the U.S. earnings season
with profit that beat analysts’ estimates.
- Fitch Cuts China Yuan Debt Rating on Local Government Borrowing. Fitch
Ratings Ltd. cut China’s long- term local-currency debt rating, citing
increasing risks to the country’s financial stability given the lack of
transparency in
the increased borrowing of local governments. Fitch lowered the rating to “A+”, its fifth-highest
level, from “AA-,” the London-based company said in an e-
mailed statement today. The company estimates total credit in
China’s economy, including various forms of so-called shadow
banking, may have reached 198 percent of gross domestic product
at the end of 2012, up from 125 percent at end-2008. “Fitch believes Chinese LGs likely have significant
additional contingent liabilities arising from debts of LG-
linked corporates,” the company said, referring to local
governments in China. “The classification of lending between
corporate and LG sectors have been opaque. Lack of transparency
over the indebtedness of LGs is a shortcoming for China relative
to peers.”
- China Surging Wages Threaten Economy’s Competitiveness, ADB Says. China’s
surging wages and other
costs are showing signs of undermining the competitiveness of
the nation’s economy, threatening its growth potential, the Asian
Development Bank said. Average inflation-adjusted wages have more than
tripled in a decade and non-wage costs for procedures such as hiring and
firing have risen since the introduction of a 2008 labor law, the
ADB said in a report published today. The labor market is being squeezed
across the nation as the pool of working-age people shrank last year.
At stake is China’s position as the world’s biggest producer of low-cost
goods, while competitors from Vietnam to Mexico stand to gain as
investors seek to relocate to countries that have cheaper labor or are
closer to big markets in the U.S. and Europe. “Rapid aging of the
population is taking its toll on the labor market,” Hamid L. Sharif, the
ADB’s country director for China, said at a press briefing in Beijing.
“Unless compensated
by rising labor productivity, high wages would erode the
economy’s competitiveness and growth potential, hampering
government development plans.”
- N. Korea Threats Boost Odds of First BOK Rate Cut Since October. North
Korea’s threats are raising the odds of the first interest-rate cut by
its southern neighbor since October as they threaten to damp business
and consumer sentiment in Asia’s fourth-largest economy.
- Egypt Pope Criticizes Mursi Over Sectarian Clashes Response. Egypt’s Coptic pope criticized the
Islamist president’s handling of the worst sectarian clashes in
months, and demanded stronger action against violence that has
deepened the nation’s rifts. Days of Muslim-Christian fighting outside a Coptic
cathedral in Cairo and in a nearby town have left at least eight
dead, most of them Christians. President Mohamed Mursi demanded
an investigation into the violence, vowed the perpetrators would
be brought to justice and ordered the revival of a little-known
body charged with tackling discrimination.
- Corn Boom Goes Bust With U.S. Sales in Record Drop: Commodities. The
record collapse in U.S. corn
exports and shrinking domestic demand are leaving more grain in
silos, spurring a bear market just eight months after drought
drove prices to an all-time high. Stockpiles will be 836 million bushels
(21.2 million metric tons) on Aug. 31, or 32 percent more than the U.S.
Department of Agriculture forecast last month, according to the
average of 35 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Export sales from
the world’s largest grower and shipper fell 54 percent in the year that
began Sept. 1, heading for the biggest annual drop in
government data that starts in 1960.
- Gold, Silver Gain on Bets Central Banks Will Add More Stimulus. Gold rallied to a one-week high on
speculation that central bankers in the world’s major economies
will take additional steps to spur growth, boosting demand for
the precious metal as a store of value. Silver jumped.
- Lacker Says Government Should Be Ready to Let Big Banks Fail. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
President Jeffrey Lacker said plans to limit the size or change
the structure of the largest financial institutions must be made
with the intent of allowing a failure without government aid. “It makes perfect sense to constrain the scale and scope
of financial firms in a way that ensures that they can be
resolved in an orderly manner, without government protection for
creditors,” Lacker told a conference at the University of
Richmond.
Fox News:
- 14 injured in knife attack on Lone Star College campus, suspect arrested. Over 12 people were stabbed Tuesday on the campus of Lone Star
Community College campus in Cypress, Texas, after a male suspect
reportedly used a small knife, ran from building to building and
randomly attacked individuals along the way. Harris Country Sheriff Adrian Garcia says the suspect, described as a
young white male, has been taken into custody. No further information
about the suspect or about the weapon has been released as the
investigation is still active and ongoing.
CNBC:
Zero Hedge:
Business Insider:
New York Times:
- Prosecutors Said to Be Investigating Tips at KPMG Involving Herbalife(HLF) and Skechers(SKX).
Federal prosecutors and securities regulators in Los Angeles are
investigating a former senior partner at KPMG for leaking secret
information to a stock trader, according to people with direct knowledge
of the inquiry. The case involves alleged tips about confidential data
related to Herbalife, the nutritional-supplement seller, and Skechers
USA, the footwear maker, according to these people. On Tuesday morning,
both Herbalife and Skechers announced that KPMG had resigned as their
auditor.
Reuters:
- ECB's Asmussen sees growing risks for H2 recovery. European
Central Bank Executive Board member Joerg Asmussen said on Tuesday
there were more downside risks to a recovery of the euro zone economy in
the second half of the year than one or two months ago. His comments
further fuelled expectations that the ECB is getting ready to cut
interest rates further, following last
week's comments by ECB President Mario Draghi that the bank
would "monitor very closely" all data and stands "ready to act". "There are more downside risks to a recovery in the second
half of the year than four or eight weeks ago," Asmussen said in
a speech in Nuertingen.
Telegraph:
Yonhap News:
- North Korea completed preparation for mid-range missile launch,
citing South Korean govt officials. North Korea is technically able to
launch missile as early as tomorrow.
Style Underperformer:
Sector Underperformers:
- 1) Homebuilders -.83% 2) Restaurants -.68% 3) Hospitals -.65%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume:
- BOFI, IRDM, FLO, MA, CMG, DEO, SONC, STWD, MG, JCP, SHLM, TTEK, ESS, FCN, OIS, VIPS, CNQR, AAP, PDCO, BG, DEO, FIRE, RLGY, QCOR, DLTR and STWD
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
- 1) TJX 2) EWJ 3) LOW 4) TXN 5) PHM
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
- 1) STJ 2) PDCO 3) MA 4) HLF 5) A
Charts:
Style Outperformer:
Sector Outperformers:
- 1) Gold & Silver +3.8% 2) Steel +3.08% 3) Alt Energy +.93%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
- NIHD, SNFCA, VHC, ANV, RIO and CLF
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
- 1) IRM 2) CIEN 3) NUAN 4) JDSU 5) KERX
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
- 1) MAKO 2) JEC 3) RS 4) AGU 5) LMT
Charts:
Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:
- Developing Asia Rebound Faces Risk From Capital Flows, ADB Says. Developing Asia’s growth recovery
faces the risk of asset bubbles from rising capital inflows, the Asian Development Bank said. Gross domestic product will increase 6.6 percent in 2013
and 6.7 percent next year, the Manila-based lender said in its
Asian Development Outlook 2013 released today. Consumer prices
will rise 4 percent in 2013 and 4.2 percent next year, it said.
- China Failed Mining Deals Top $45 Billion on Hanlong Bungle. Sichuan Hanlong Group’s botched $1.2
billion bid for Australia’s Sundance Resources Ltd. (SDL) brings the
value of China’s recent failed mining deals to $45 billion, a
record that’s prompted stricter Chinese scrutiny of acquisitions. Chinese companies attempted $107 billion worth of mining
takeovers over the past five years, with about $45 billion, or
42 percent by value, of deals ending in failure. Of $562 billion
of deals proposed globally in the same period, $180 billion, or
32 percent, didn’t proceed, according to data compiled by
Bloomberg.
- Rogers Says North Korea’s Kim Likely to Cause ‘Skirmish’.
North Korea will probably carry out a small military
attack in the region so the country’s leader, Kim Jong Un, can brandish
his power, the chairman of the U.S. House intelligence panel said today.
“I do think there will be some small skirmish before this is over,”
Representative Mike Rogers, a Michigan Republican, said in an interview
at Bloomberg News headquarters in New York. North Korea has threatened
to carry out pre-emptive nuclear strikes against
the U.S. and South Korea, a move that escalated tensions in the region
and prompted calls for dialogue. “I almost think
they are looking for some small engagement so that he can brandish his
credentials with the military,” Rogers said. He called Kim’s behavior
“brazen” and said the new dictator is surrounded by “hardliners.”
- North Korea Acts a Clear Threat, U.S. Commander to Tell Congress. North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons and long-range missiles
poses a “direct threat” to the U.S. and its allies, a top U.S. military
commander plans to tell Congress today amid rising tensions on the
Korean peninsula. The situation, fanned by hostile
rhetoric from dictator Kim Jong Un, “creates an environment marked by
the potential for miscalculation” and military escalation, Admiral
Samuel Locklear, the head of the U.S. Pacific Command, said in prepared
testimony for a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing. Efforts by
Kim’s regime to build and test nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles
violate United Nations Security Council resolutions and “represent a
clear and direct threat to U.S. national security and regional peace and
stability,” Locklear said in his testimony.
- Bernanke Says Interest on Reserves Would Be Main Tightening Tool. Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the Fed will raise the interest
rate on excess reserves as its primary tool for tightening monetary
policy rather than selling assets from its balance sheet. “The
principal tool that we contemplate is the interest rate paid on excess
reserves,” Bernanke said today in response to audience questions at a
conference in Stone Mountain, Georgia. During a tightening, money market
rates will probably
stay close to the interest rate on excess reserves, he said.
- J.C. Penney(JCP) Ousts CEO Johnson, Brings Back Ullman. J.C. Penney Co. ousted Chief Executive Officer Ron Johnson and
reinstated his predecessor, Myron E. Ullman III, as the department-store
chain works to rebound from its worst sales year in more than two
decades. The shares slid in late trading.
Wall Street Journal:
- China's Xi Says Fast Growth Over. Chinese President Xi Jinping said China's days of breakneck growth are
over as the world's No. 2 economy tries to balance expansion with
sustainability and increasing environmental awareness. Speaking before business leaders at the Boao Forum for Asia in
southern China on Monday, Mr. Xi said "it's not impossible to grow
faster," but added, "we don't want to grow too fast." "I don't think China can sustain super-high or ultra-high-speed
growth," he said, citing the need to balance economic growth with other
issues. He said China's slowdown last year to 7.8% economic growth is
"partially due to our efforts to control the speed of growth."
Fox News:
- As support for gun bill filibuster grows, Obama says backers trying to use 'political stunts'. The White House lashed out Monday at Republican lawmakers threatening
to filibuster gun control legislation in the Senate, accusing them of
trying to pull “political stunts” and "hide" behind procedural maneuvers
-- as support for the filibuster continued to grow. Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah, announced early Monday that 13 senators had
signed a letter to Majority Leader Harry Reid threatening to oppose "any
legislation that would infringe on the American people's constitutional
right to bear arms."
CNBC:
Zero Hedge:
Business Insider:
New York Times:
- Exchanges Are Moving to Curb Private Trades. The chief executives of the three largest stock exchanges are joining
forces for the first time to push regulators to rein in the increasing
amount of trading that is moving off public exchanges and onto platforms
like so-called dark pools. The leaders of the New York Stock
Exchange, Nasdaq and BATS Global Markets, the third largest exchange
operator, are planning to meet on Tuesday with officials of the
Securities and Exchange Commission, according to people briefed on the
meeting.
Reuters:
- N.Koreans don't show for work at Kaesong factory park. North Korean labourers did not
show up for work on Tuesday at a factory complex operated with
South Korea, companies with operations there said, effectively
shutting down the zone for the first time since it began
shipments in 2004.
Pyongyang's decision to halt work at the Kaesong industrial
park coincided with speculation it would carry out a missile
launch, or even another nuclear test, in what has become one of
the worst periods of tension on the peninsula since the end of
the Korean War in 1953.
- GM(GM) cuts S.Korean output due to weak Chevy sales in Europe. General Motors Co plans to
deepen cuts to output at one of its South Korean plants in April
to cope with lacklustre sales in Europe, a company official said
on Tuesday.
GM's South Korean unit will idle its plant in the
southwestern city of Gunsan for nine days this month, up from
six days in March, the official said.
- U.S. watchdog subpoenas swaps association over benchmark. The top U.S. derivatives
regulator is probing a widely used benchmark for swaps, the
trade body overseeing the rate said, dealing a further blow to
the market after the sprawling Libor probe.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has subpoenaed the
International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) over its ISDAfix
benchmark, widely used to anchor market rates, a spokeswoman for ISDA
said. Bloomberg reported on Monday that the CFTC was investigating
derivatives broker ICAP Plc and as many as 15 banks in a probe into the
possible manipulation of the benchmark.
- Alcoa(AA) profit rises, but price concerns linger. Alcoa
Inc, the largest U.S. aluminum producer, reported a higher quarterly
profit on Monday thanks in part to strength at its raw materials
segment, but lower-than-expected revenue and an uncertain outlook
dragged down the company's share price. Stubbornly low aluminum prices have weighed on the company's business of mining bauxite, refining it into alumina and
smelting alumina to produce aluminum.
- New Medicare cuts threaten U.S. non-profit hospitals -Moody's. Not-for-profit U.S.
hospitals began confronting another threat to their shaky
finances last week with the start of reductions to Medicare that are included in the universal federal spending cuts known as sequestration, Moody's Investors Service said on Monday.
Sankei:
- North
Korea May Fire Missile as Soon as April 10. North Korea told British,
Russian, and some other embassies in Pyongyang on April 5 it may fire
missile over Japan to the Pacific Ocean side as soon as tomorrow, citing
people familiar with the situation.
Japan Daily Press:
- Japan deploys rockets in Tokyo, readies to shoot down North Korean missiles. Two Patriot Advanced Capability-3 surface-to-air missile launchers have
been deployed to the defence ministry in Tokyo in preparation for any North Korean attack.
The government has authorized Japan’s armed forces to shoot down any
missile that will be heading towards the territory. These are part of
Japan’s defense preparations as North Korea continues to make threats
towards South Korea, the United States and its allies in the region.
China Securities Journal:
- Chinese first-tier cities including Shanghai, Guangzhou and
Shenzhen are expected to raise down payment requirements for second
homes, following Beijing, citing people familiar with the situation.
- China's
Polysilicon Oversupply to Last 1-2 Years. Supplies in the domestic
market are expected to increase because of rising output by Chinese
makers following Chinese anti-dumping and anti-subsidy measures on
foreign products, citing a report from the country's silicon association.
- China
Iron Ore Prices to Fall on Oversupply. Iron ore prices are expected to
fall because oversupplies in steel and raw material markets will
continue, citing a report from the China Iron and Steel Association.
Evening Recommendations
Night Trading
- Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
- Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 118.0 -3.0 basis points.
- Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 96.5 -.75 basis point.
- NASDAQ 100 futures +.21%.
Morning Preview Links
Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
- The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for March is estimated to fall to 89.8 versus 90.8 in February.
10:00 am EST
- Wholesale Inventories for February are estimated to rise +.5% versus a +1.2% gain in January.
- JOLTs Job Openings for February are estimated to rise to 3740 versus 3693 in January.
Upcoming Splits
Other Potential Market Movers
- The Fed's Lacker speaking, Fed's Lockhart speaking, Eurozone Trade data, 3Y T-Note auction, weekly retail sales reports and the (FSLR) analyst meeting could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE: Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by commodity and real estate shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing mixed. The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.
Broad Market Tone:
- Advance/Decline Line: Lower
- Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
- Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
- ISE Sentiment Index 117.0 +50.0%
- Total Put/Call .94 -9.62%
Credit Investor Angst:
- North American Investment Grade CDS Index 85.49 -1.64%
- European Financial Sector CDS Index 168.10 -4.2%
- Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 103.34 +.61%
- Emerging Market CDS Index 241.06 -4.6%
- 2-Year Swap Spread 14.75 -.25 bp
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.0 +.5 bp
Economic Gauges:
- 3-Month T-Bill Yield .06% unch.
- China Import Iron Ore Spot $137.60/Metric Tonne +1.25%
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 2.90 -1.1 points
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.46 -1 bp
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei Futures: Indicating +318 open in Japan
- DAX Futures: Indicating +27 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/biotech/retail sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and some of my (EEM) short
- Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long
Bloomberg:
- Sentix European Investor Confidence Falls After Cyprus Bailout. European investor confidence
declined more than economists forecast in April, after the bail-
in of Cypriot bank depositors rattled financial markets, the
Sentix research institute said today. An index measuring sentiment in the euro-area fell to minus 17.3 from minus 10.6 in March,
the Limburg, Germany-based institute said in an e-mailed statement.
That’s the second drop in a row and the lowest reading since December. Economists had predicted a decline to minus 12.8, according to the median of 18 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. A gauge of economic
expectations decreased to 0.5 from 8.3, while a measure of
current conditions fell to minus 33.5 from minus 27.8.
- China Export-Data Skepticism Deepens From Goldman to Nomura. China’s
unprecedented run of better- than-forecast export growth has spurred
deeper skepticism of the data at banks including Goldman Sachs Group
Inc., casting doubt on the strength of the recovery. Gains in
overseas shipments exceeded forecasts by at least 7.5 percentage points
in December, January and February, the first time that’s happened in
three straight months in the eight years Bloomberg has compiled analyst
estimates for the data. March figures are due to be released tomorrow at
10 a.m. at a briefing in Beijing, giving the customs administration an
opportunity to address the issue. Overstated exports would mean China is failing to get the boost from global demand that the data suggest as the new government under Premier Li Keqiang seeks to sustain an economic rebound.
- Soros Sees China Shadow-Banking Risks Similar to Subprime.
Billionaire investor George Soros said China has a “couple of years” to
control risks from nontraditional financing whose expansion has
parallels with the cause of the global
financial crisis. “The rapid growth of shadow banking has some
disturbing similarities with the subprime-mortgage market in the U.S.
that caused the financial crisis of 2007-2008,” Soros said today in a
speech at the Boao Forum for Asia in China. “I’m sure the authorities
are aware of the dangers. They have both the skills and the resources to deflate an incipient bubble gradually. The comments add to concerns that the increase in credit risks triggering turmoil that would cause an economic downturn. Aggregate
financing, an indicator started by the central bank in 2011 to provide a
broader gauge of funding, more than doubled to a record in January from
a year
earlier.
- VIX Bets Climb to Three-Yera High on Earnings Concern: Options.
Wagers that U.S. stock volatility will increase have reached a
three-year high on concern American companies are getting ready to
report the first slump in profit since 2009. There were 6.54 million
calls on the CBOE Volatility Index and 2.34 million puts on April 4,
according to Bloomberg. The ratio jumped to 2.93-to-1.0 last month, the
highest since March 2010.
- Fisker Struggles Mark Blow to Obama’s Electric-Car Goal.
The possible bankruptcy of Fisker Automotive Inc., which last week
fired three-quarters of its workforce, is the latest blow to President
Barack Obama’s goal of having 1 million electric vehicles on U.S. roads
by 2015. Fisker’s downfall after receiving $193 million in U.S. taxpayer
money and producing 2,500 cars may complete the U.S. government’s
transformation from electric-vehicle promoter and financier to debt
collector, two years after it approved its
last loan. Obama’s goal was “misguided” in the first place, putting
the administration’s eagerness to rush out loans and grants
while money was available ahead of due diligence, said Menahem Anderman, president of Total Battery Consulting Inc., in Oregon
House, California. “The timing was based on the government’s spending
schedule rather than the schedule of the market and the
readiness of the technology,” Anderman said. “You had a very
complex vehicle to produce, a questionable market, in terms of
demand, with a team that hadn’t proven it could build it or sell
it.”
Wall Street Journal:
- Former British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher Dies. 'Iron Lady' Was Among Most Influential Global Leaders of Postwar Period. Margaret
Thatcher, the former British prime minister who became one of the most
influential global leaders of the postwar period, died on Monday, three
decades after her championing of free-market economics and individual
choice transformed Britain's economy and her vigorous foreign policy
played a key role in the end of the Cold War. "It is with great sadness that Mark and Carol Thatcher announced that
their mother, Baroness Thatcher, died peacefully following a stroke
this morning," said Mrs. Thatcher's spokesman, Timothy Bell. She was 87.
"We've lost a great prime minister, a great leader, a great Briton,"
said U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron, who cut short a Europe trip to
return to the U.K. on Monday afternoon. "She saved our country and I
believe she will go down as the greatest British peacetime prime
minister."
- Pyongyang Suspends Kaesong Operations.
North Korea said it intends to withdraw all its workers from an
industrial park jointly run with South Korea and is considering closing
the complex permanently. That would leave the last remaining symbol of
inter-Korean cooperation close to collapse and mark a significant
exacerbation of tensions on the Korean peninsula. The move, coming as Seoul continues to face a barrage of war threats
from the North, provides a fresh challenge for new South Korean
President Park Geun-hye's pledge to improve ties with Pyongyang. Some 53,000 North Koreans work at the complex. As of late Monday, 475
South Koreans and four Chinese nationals remained on the site.
CNBC:
Zero Hedge:
Business Insider:
Reuters:
- Italy public debt to rise 3 points after companies paid. Italy's public debt will rise
by at least three percentage points over the next two years due
to government plans to pay some 40 billion euros of debts owed
by the state to private suppliers, its economy minister said.
Italy's debt hit a record 127 percent of gross domestic product at the
end of last year, the second highest in the euro zone after Greece.
- ECB warns of risks in correspondent banking. The ECB
warned on Monday against concentration in the correspondent banking
business, which handles payments between smaller banks, saying if a
major player failed it could threaten financial stability.
Financial Times:
- Banks pull back from lending to emerging markets groups.
Lending by western banks to companies across emerging markets is
falling sharply as the eurozone banking crisis grinds on, new research
shows. The value of new syndicated loans made to EM businesses fell 20 per
cent to $276bn in 2012 from $343.2bn in the previous year, according to a
report given to FTfm by Cordiant, a private debt fund manager based in
Montreal. This lending slowdown suggests businesses in the developing world are
just as caught out by the dry-up in financing as their western
counterparts, and face difficulty growing.
- Fed warned to rein in QE. One
of Wall Street’s biggest money managers has called on the Federal
Reserve to rein in its programme of quantitative easing, saying its
bond-buying tactics are a “large and dull hammer” that have distorted
markets and risk stoking inflation. Rick Rieder, who oversees $763bn
in fixed income investments for BlackRock, spoke out as the Fed debates
how long to persist with the unorthodox measures it has used to
stimulate the US economy. His comments add BlackRock to the growing list of Fed critics who are warning of trouble ahead for the bond market.
Telegraph: