Thursday, December 07, 2017

Today's Headlines

Bloomberg:
Wall Street Journal:
Zero Hedge:

Bear Radar

Style Underperformer:
  • Large-Cap Value +.3%
Sector Underperformers:
  • 1) Steel -1.2% 2) Tobacco -.9% 3) Shipping -.4%
Stocks Falling on Unusual Volume: 
  • DLTH, AGX, IDT, VRNT, VRS, NYT, HRB and HIMX
Stocks With Unusual Put Option Activity:
  • 1) CTSH 2) PCG 3) PXD 4) CL 5) LC
Stocks With Most Negative News Mentions:
  • 1) AGX 2) LC 3) SNCR 4) AVID 5) CTRP
Charts:

Bull Radar

Style Outperformer:
  • Small-Cap Growth +.9%
Sector Outperformers:
  • 1) Biotech +1.5% 2) Alt Energy +1.4% 3) Social Media +1.4%
Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume:
  • ENTL, HOME, SAGE, OSIS, TLRD, GEF, LULU, CONN, IMKTA, TRHC, SCMP, LE, ALOG, GWPH, NCS, SGH, KRO, RIOT, XOMA, EIX, TROX, FOX, KEYS, IGV, CTRN, IMMU, SHAK, XENT, HALO, RNG, SGH, TWOU, CMTL, CNCE, MTN, APTI, KRO, OKTA, FOXA and KLXI
Stocks With Unusual Call Option Activity:
  • 1) TLRD 2) PAYX 3) UTX 4) TBT 5) CIEN
Stocks With Most Positive News Mentions:
  • 1) SAGE 2) LULU 3) SHAK 4) GEF 5) DPW
Charts:

Morning Market Internals

NYSE Composite Index:

Wednesday, December 06, 2017

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.25% to +.75% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 73.25 +.25 basis point
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 14.0 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.13 -.04%.
  • S&P 500 futures +.21%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures +.36%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate
  • (CIEN)/.50
  • (DG)/.94
  • (JKS)/-.02
  • (TTC)/.29
  • (COO)/2.66
  • (FNSR)/.30
  • (UNFI)/.60
Economic Releases
7:30 am EST
  • Challenger Job Cuts YoY for November.
8:30 am EST:
  • Initial Jobless Claims for last week are estimated to rise to 240K versus 238K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to fall to 1919K versus 1957K prior.
12:00 pm EST
  • 3Q Household Change in New Worth.
3:00 pm EST
  • Consumer Credit for October is estimated to fall to $17.0B versus $20.83B in September.
Upcoming Splits
  • (PATK) 3-for-2
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Eurozone Industrial Production report, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index, weekly EIA natural gas inventory report, (PSMT) monthly sales report, (ANDE) investor day, (EW) investor conference, (SYY) investor day and the (FITB) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly higher, boosted by financial and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open modestly higher and to maintain gains into the afternoon.  The Portfolio is 75% net long heading into the day.

Stocks Reversing Slightly Higher into Final Hour on Bargain-Hunting, Seasonal Strength, Technical Buying, Tech/Defense Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Around Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 11.07 -2.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 137.96 -.6%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.03 +.5%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 37.49 -.13%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 68.0 -38.7%
  • Total Put/Call .85 +1.19%
  • NYSE Arms 1.30 -15.52%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.97 +.47%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 369.0 +1.15%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 46.69 +1.53%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 3.62 +.84%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 14.79 +.08%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 177.76 +1.08%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 145.73 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 17.75 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 19.75 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -58.5 -5.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 73.15 -.28%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.29% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 52.5 -1.5 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $72.68/Metric Tonne +3.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 62.90 -.2 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 67.0 +.6 basis point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 2.40 +.6 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Jan. 31 meeting, 100.0% chance at March 21 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +123 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -33 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +23 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my tech/medical/retail sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 75% Net Long