S&P 500 5,099.9 +2.7% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 38,239.7 +.7%
- NASDAQ 15,927.9 +4.2%
- Russell 2000 2,002.0 +2.8%
- NYSE FANG+ 9,858.5 +6.1%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 153.4 +5.3%
- Wilshire 5000 50,711.2 +2.7%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,301.6 +3.7%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,704.2 +1.4%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 806.5 +1.5%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 143.4 +1.3%
- NYSE Technology 4,626.6 +4.9%
- Transports 15,170.9 +.58%
- Utilities 884.3 +1.0%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 104.5 +2.7%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 41.2 +3.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 208.1 -.68%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 109.1 -.57%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 490,278 +.8%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 9.6 +9.1%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index -230 +157
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -35.4 +2.3%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 290,462 -2.3%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,799,606 +2.1%
- Total Put/Call 1.0 -13.1%
- OEX Put/Call .70 -21.6%
- ISE Sentiment 120.0 +17.0 point
- NYSE Arms 1.11 +42.9%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 67.7 -1.8%
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index 1.04 +12.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index .80 +11.0 basis points
- Volatility(VIX) 15.0 -19.3%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing .67 -26.5%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 18.0 -23.3%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 7.61 -.27%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 7.0 -4.2%
- Smart Money Flow Index 17,412.7 -.55%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 59.5 -3.5
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $5.977 Trillion +.2%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows -$17.848 Million
- AAII % Bulls 32.1 -16.2%
- AAII % Bears 33.9 -.3%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 43.0 (FEAR) +12.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 296.84 +.7%
- Crude Oil 83.4/bbl. -2.9%
- Reformulated Gasoline 276.3 +2.1%
- Natural Gas 1.61 -9.1%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 28.9 euros/megawatt-hour -6.1%
- Heating Oil 254.8 +.52%
- Newcastle Coal 135.8 (1,000/metric ton) -4.4%
- Gold 2,338.5 -2.5%
- Silver 27.2 -5.2%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 471.2 -1.7%
- Copper 457.1 +1.5%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 386.0 USD/Metric Tonne -1.0%
- China Iron Ore Spot 116.7 USD/Metric Tonne -.6
%
- CME Lumber 513.5 -.2%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,505.3 +1.5%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 300.0 USD/Short Ton -2.4%
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2Q Forecast +3.9% +100.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 22.4% -.3 percentage point
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 1.9 +11.1%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 131.4 +29.1%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(228 of 500 reporting) +3.4% -6.0 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 252.88 +.43: Growth
Rate +13.3% +.2 percentage point, P/E 20.2 +.3
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.84% -2.0 basis points
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(5 of 10 reporting) +42.4% -35.8 percentage points
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 315.36 +1.38: Growth Rate +31.3% +.6 percentage point, P/E 31.2 +.4
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 15.1 -18.0 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 28.7 -4.7 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 38.3 +9.1 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 2.9%(-2.5 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 97.1%(+2.5 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 5/1
- US Dollar Index 105.96 -.09%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,713.68 +.19%
- Bitcoin/USD 64,081.9 -1.7%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 183.90 +2.4%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -33.25 +2.5 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.67% +6.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.367 Trillion -.04%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.844 Billion +17.0%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $125.492 Billion -.17%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 41.3 +2.6%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 187.7 +1.7%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 135.0 -8.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 25.2 -8.2%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 71.7 +.15%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 152.0 -6.1%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 134.77 -4.3%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 37.90 -3.3%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.39 -.55%
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 90.82 +.11%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.5% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.7% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +5.0% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.74% unch.: CPI YoY +3.49% +3.0 basis points
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 2.45% -8.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 8.75 basis points +1.25 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -7.5 +2.0 basis points
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.75 +.75 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 51.8 -8.9%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 123.0 -5.4%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 286.0 +12.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 63.05 -7.7%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 188.1 -4.3%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 174.91 -4.6%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 148.0 -4.0 basis points
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 770.0 -2.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .57 -1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -.3% +140.0 basis points
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,309.5B -.2%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 213,250 -.58%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.9 +4.1%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.56% +16.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 196,700 -2.7%
- Weekly Retail Sales +5.10% +20.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -7.0% -2.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $112.9M -39.5%
- Nationwide Gas $3.66/gallon -.02/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,743.4 -9.2%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,718.5/40 ft Box -2.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,705.5 -.5%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 40.0 unch.
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 52.2 -9.1%
- Rail Freight Carloads 257,599 -.19%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,675,734 +20.4%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth +3.9%
Worst Performing Style
- Large-Cap Value +1.5%
Leading Sectors
- Semis +10.0%
- Disk Drives +7.1%
- Social Media +6.9%
- Construction +5.5%
- Computer Hardware +5.3%
Lagging Sectors
- Telecom -1.0%
- Insurance -1.9%
- Steel -3.3%
- Airlines -4.3%
- Computer Services -5.0%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (52)
- CGEM,
SNAP, TPC, EXPO, SLCA, RMD, ZIM, SKX, PTCT, ANAB, TBBB, CAVA, DJT,
APPF, GOOGL, KTOS, SG, RILY, AN, BEKE, BALL, MHK, FUTU, IRDM, SAH, NVDA,
APP, DEC, BILI, JD, MNSO, TROW, TER, CSL, SCCO, LHX, FMX, PEGA, CDP,
DDOG, ENPH, VRT, ATHM, BIIB, ZTS, MUX, CMRE, AMRK, BBVA and GME
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (21)
- HCA, TFII, CZR, VRSN, ABBV, CUBI, ODFL, ALSN, MBLY, CINF, TS, XPO, CABA, AON, DXCM, TEAM, INTC, ROKU, TNET, BYD and SAIA
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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