S&P 500 5,197.8 -1.2% |
Weekly Market Wrap by Edward Jones.
Indices
- DJIA 38,895.4 -2.3%
- NASDAQ 16,234.3 -.93%
- Russell 2000 2,063.9 -2.9%
- NYSE FANG+ 10,027.6 +.2%
- Solactive Roundhill Meme Stock Index 415.8 -7.3%
- Goldman 50 Most Shorted 160.5 -5.2%
- Wilshire 5000 51,775.7 -1.2%
- Russell 1000 Growth 3,368.1 -.9%
- Russell 1000 Value 1,740.1 -1.6%
- S&P 500 Consumer Staples 792.0 -2.8%
- Bloomberg Cyclicals/Defensives Pair Index 143.9 +.6%
- NYSE Technology 4,771.6 -.7%
- Transports 15,906.7 -1.9%
- Utilities 868.4 -1.6%
- Bloomberg European Bank/Financial Services 103.4 +1.6%
- MSCI Emerging Markets 41.3 +.5%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Long/Short Equity Index 207.9 -.21%
- Credit Suisse AllHedge Equity Market Neutral Index 108.6 -.73%
Sentiment/Internals
- NYSE Cumulative A/D Line 494,526 -.66%
- Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio 9.0 -4.3%
- Bloomberg New Highs-Lows Index 556 -357
- Crude Oil Commercial Bullish % Net Position -34.8 +1.1%
- CFTC Oil Net Speculative Position 278,027 +.1%
- CFTC Oil Total Open Interest 1,775,565 +3.6%
- Total Put/Call 1.20 -5.7%
- OEX Put/Call 1.71 -13.3%
- ISE Sentiment 125.0 -2.0 points
- NYSE Arms .93 +22.8%
- Bloomberg Global Risk-On/Risk-Off Index 67.2 unch.
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .91 -21.0 basis points
- Bloomberg European Financial Conditions Index 1.0 unch.
- Volatility(VIX) 16.6 +28.1%
- DJIA Intraday % Swing 1.13 +242.4%
- CBOE S&P 500 3M Implied Correlation Index 18.4 +37.5%
- G7 Currency Volatility (VXY) 6.73 +2.0%
- Emerging Markets Currency Volatility (EM-VXY) 6.62 +2.5%
- Smart Money Flow Index 16,514.4 +2.0%
- NAAIM Exposure Index 84.2 -19.7
- ICI Money Mkt Mutual Fund Assets $6.111 Trillion +1.2%
- ICI Domestic Equity Long-Term Mutual Fund/ETFs Weekly Flows +$6.039 Million
- AAII % Bulls 47.3 -5.4%
- AAII % Bears 22.2 -.9%
- CNN Fear & Greed Index 62.0 (Greed) -8.0
Futures Spot Prices
- CRB Index 296.3 +2.1%
- Crude Oil 86.8/bbl. +5.1%
- Reformulated Gasoline 278.0 +3.2%
- Natural Gas 1.78 +2.8%
- Dutch TTF Nat Gas(European benchmark) 26.6 euros/megawatt-hour -3.7%
- Heating Oil 276.0 +6.4%
- Newcastle Coal 128.9 (1,000/metric ton) -1.6%
- Gold 2,325.2 +4.4%
- Silver 27.4 +9.9%
- S&P GSCI Industrial Metals Index 445.6 +5.3%
- Copper 423.7 +5.6%
- US No. 1 Heavy Melt Scrap Steel 380.0 USD/Metric Tonne -.5%
- China Iron Ore Spot 97.7 USD/Metric Tonne -4.0
%
- CME Lumber 572.5 -2.3%
- UBS-Bloomberg Agriculture 1,518.3 +.7%
- US Gulf NOLA Potash Spot 312.50 USD/Short Ton unch.
Economy
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow 1Q Forecast +2.5% +40.0 basis points
- ECRI Weekly Leading Economic Index Growth Rate (graph)
- US Recession Within 3 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 27.0% -1.6 percentage points
- NY Fed Real-Time Weekly Economic Index 2.0 +22.4%
- US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index 86.9 +72.2%
- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(19 of 500 reporting) +39.5% -4.1 percentage points
- S&P
500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 250.09 +.86: Growth
Rate +12.4% +.3 percentage point, P/E 20.5 -.5
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.84% unch.
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 311.89 +.29: Growth Rate +29.8% +.1 percentage point, P/E 31.7 -.5
- Citi US Economic Surprise Index 41.2 +7.7 points
- Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 36.6 -6.2 points
- Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 26.8 +5.7 points
- Fed
Fund Futures imply 1.9%(-7.4 percentage points) chance of -25.0 basis
point cut to 5.0-5.25%, 98.1%(+7.4 percentage points) chance of no
change, 0.0%(unch.) chance of +25.0 basis point hike to 5.5-5.75% on 5/1
- US Dollar Index 104.3 -.2%
- MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index 1,725.8 +.09%
- Bitcoin/USD 67,617.1 -4.5%
- Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 178.4 +.64%
- Yield Curve(2s/10s) -35.25 +7.25 basis points
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield 4.37% +17.0 basis points
- Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet $7.403 Trillion -.6%
- Federal Reserve's Discount Window Usage $6.105 Billion+.3%
- Federal Reserve's Bank Term Funding Program $130.462 Billion -1.8%
- U.S. Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 39.0 -2.0%
- Illinois Municipal Debt Credit Default Swap 191.7 +1.4%
- Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 142.0 +4.0 basis points
- UK Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 28.0 +2.3%
- China Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 73.6 +5.2%
- Brazil Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 148.1 +7.3%
- Israel Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 130.0 +10.5%
- South Korea Sovereign Debt Credit Default Swap 38.9 +2.0%
- China Corp. High-Yield Bond USD ETF(KHYB) 24.7 unch.
- China High-Yield Real Estate Total Return Index 90.9 +1.2%
- Atlanta Fed Low Skill Wage Growth Tracker YoY +5.6% unch.
- Zillow US All Homes Rent Index YoY +3.5% unch.
- US Urban Consumers Food CPI YoY +2.2% unch.
- CPI Core Services Ex-Shelter YoY +4.5% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.67% -11.0 basis points: CPI YoY +3.41% unch.
- 1-Year TIPS Spread 4.13% +17.0 basis points
- Treasury Repo 3M T-Bill Spread 5.75 basis points +2.5 basis points
- 2-Year SOFR Swap Spread -9.5 -.75 basis point
- 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -4.0 +.5 basis point
- N. America Investment Grade Credit Default Swap Index 52.8 +1.9%
- America Energy Sector High-Yield Credit Default Swap Index 117.0 -6.4%
- Bloomberg TRACE # Distressed Bonds Traded 257.0 -30.0
- European Financial Sector Credit Default Swap Index 63.3 +.13%
- Deutsche Bank Subordinated 5Y Credit Default Swap 185.1 -.16%
- Emerging Markets Credit Default Swap Index 170.5 +1.1%
- MBS 5/10 Treasury Spread 138.0 -1.0 basis point
- Bloomberg CMBS Investment Grade Bbb Average OAS 779.0 -6.0 basis points
- Avg. Auto ABS OAS .60 -1.0 basis point
- M2 Money Supply YoY % Change -1.7% unch.
- Commercial Paper Outstanding $1,336.7B -1.0%
- 4-Week Moving Average of Jobless Claims 214,250 +1.3%
- Continuing Claims Unemployment Rate 1.2% unch.
- Kastle Back-to-Work Barometer(entries in secured buildings) 51.2 -.2%
- Average 30-Year Fixed Home Mortgage Rate 7.28% +8.0 basis points
- Weekly Mortgage Applications 195,600 -.6%
- Weekly Retail Sales +3.9% +50.0 basis points
- OpenTable US Seated Diners % Change YoY -2.0% +3.0 percentage points
- Box Office Weekly Gross $126.8M n/a
- Nationwide Gas $3.58/gallon +.04/gallon
- Baltic Dry Index 1,669.0 -9.5%
- Drewry World Container Freight Index $2,929.0/40 ft Box -2.7%
- China (Export) Containerized Freight Index 2,835.5 -3.2%
- Oil Tanker Rate(Arabian Gulf to U.S. Gulf Coast) 40.0 -5.9%
- Truckstop.com Market Demand Index 54.8 -2.3%
- Rail Freight Carloads 253,918 -.6%
- TSA Total Traveler Throughput 2,619,443 +12.9%
Best Performing Style
- Large-Cap Growth -1.0%
Worst Performing Style
- Small-Cap Growth -3.1%
Leading Sectors
- Gold & Silver +7.6%
- Energy +5.0%
- Oil Service +4.3%
- Shipping +1.9%
- Gambling +.8%
Lagging Sectors
- Alt Energy -4.2%
- Regional Banks -4.4%
- Healthcare Providers -4.8%
- Airlines -5.4%
- Retail -5.7%
Weekly High-Volume Stock Gainers (18)
- ROOT, TGS, AMRK, GEO, TMDX, RARE, VST, PAM, PAAS, CEPU, NEM, MDB, CEG, GE, VRT, VITL, STAA and PEN
Weekly High-Volume Stock Losers (9)
- TSLA, CNXC, STVN, DAY, ENPH, EXLS, HDSN, CSIQ and ZGN
ETFs
Stocks
*5-Day Change
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