- S&P 500 Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(19 of 500 reporting) +39.5% unch.
- S&P 500 Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 250.95 +.06: Growth Rate +12.4% unch., P/E 20.8 -.1
- S&P 500 Current Year Estimated Profit Margin 12.84% -1.0 basis point
- NYSE FANG+ Current Quarter EPS Growth Rate YoY(0 of 10 reporting) +n/a
- NYSE FANG+ Blended Forward 12 Months Mean EPS Estimate 311.89 +.10: Growth Rate +29.8% unch., P/E 32.3 -.3
- Bloomberg US Financial Conditions Index .91 -16.0 basis points
- Bloomberg Euro-Zone Financial Conditions Index 1.0 -6.0 basis points
- US Yield Curve -35.0 basis points (2s/10s) -.5 basis point
- US Atlanta Fed 1Q GDPNow Forecast +2.5% unch.
- US Recession Within 6 Months Probability(3M/18M Forward Yld Curve Spread) 52.1% unch.
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast Core PCE YoY +2.67% unch.: CPI YoY +3.41% unch.
- 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.38 +3.0 basis points
- Highest target rate probability for June 12th FOMC meeting: 50.6%(-8.5 percentage points) chance of 5.0%-5.25%. Highest target rate probability for July 31st meeting: 48.9%(+.6 percentage point) chance of 5.0%-5.25%.
Overseas Futures:
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +368 open in Japan
- China A50 Futures: Indicating +2 open in China
- DAX Futures: Indicating +243 open in Germany
Portfolio:
- Slightly Higher: On gains in my consumer discretionary/tech/transport/financial/industrial sector longs
- Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
- Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long
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