Monday, February 09, 2015

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Surging Eurozone Debt Angst, Escalating Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Global Growth Fears, Transport/Healthcare Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 18.74 +8.39%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.15 -.37%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.90 +.09%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.54 -1.01%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 87.0 +38.10%
  • Total Put/Call 1.05 +1.94%
  • NYSE Arms .87 +18.89% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.60 +.22%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 710.0 -3.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 67.85 +7.85%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.38 +3.53%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 69.03 +2.58%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 379.55 +.52%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.43 -.18%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.25 -.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.0 -.5 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.55 -1.5 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 131.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.20/Metric Tonne -2.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -26.10 -.8 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 29.20 +4.4 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.60 -6.3 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.71 -1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -162 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -35 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my index hedges and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 25% Net Long

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