Thursday, February 12, 2015

Stocks Rising into Afternoon on Diminished Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Greece Hopes, Oil Bounce, Commodity/Gaming Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.71 -7.37%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.66 -.65%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 11.16 -1.41%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.33 -3.05%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 154.0 +81.18%
  • Total Put/Call .86 -10.42%
  • NYSE Arms .70 -36.0% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.04 -1.04%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 716.0 +.31%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 65.81 -3.85%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 27.0 +1.54%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 69.22 -.27%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 376.17 -1.97%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.29 -.01%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 25.25 unch.
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.75 +1.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 136.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $62.27/Metric Tonne +.14%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -36.90 -7.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 31.10 +.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -8.20 +1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.67 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -65 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +33 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my tech/retail/biotech/medical sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 75% Net Long

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