Thursday, February 05, 2015

Stocks Rising into Final Hour on Oil Bounce, Less Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Yen Weakness, Biotech/Commodity Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Slightly Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.26 -5.84%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.95 +1.46%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.71 -.74%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 65.54 -1.37%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 171.0 +67.65%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -4.26%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -26.58% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.09 -2.64%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 742.0 -1.38%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 62.01 -.65%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.88 +.71%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 68.20 -.45%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 382.68 -2.08%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.60 unch.
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 25.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.5 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -17.25 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 129.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $61.64/Metric Tonne -1.50%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -27.20 -14.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 25.70 +4.9 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -4.50 +1.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.69 -2.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +216 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/tech/medical/biotech sector longs 
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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