Thursday, February 19, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Greece Worries, Russia-Ukraine Tensions, Oil Decline, Commodity/REIT Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.25 -1.29%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.21 -.12%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.22 -1.02%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.50 +2.02%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 121.0 +40.70%
  • Total Put/Call .90 -5.26%
  • NYSE Arms 1.23 -.25% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 64.24 +.33%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 690.0 -1.80%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 62.03 -1.66%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.66 -3.73%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 65.0 -1.06%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 374.54 +1.37%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.71 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 28.5 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.25 -.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.5 unch.
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% unch.
  • Yield Curve 149.0 +1.0 basis point
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $63.44/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -48.30 +.1 point
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 46.0 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.90 -.5 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.75 +3.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +106 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/tech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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