Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Final Hour on Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Yen Strength, Earnings Concerns, Financial/Energy Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: About Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 16.13 +2.09%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 141.14 -.69%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.44 -1.51%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.98 +.02%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 83.0 +9.21%
  • Total Put/Call .97 +3.19%
  • NYSE Arms 1.14 +94.88% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.95 -1.95%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 698.0 -.82%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 63.08 -6.26%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 26.75 -3.17%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 65.90 -1.24%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 368.58 -.11%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.68 +.04%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 27.75 unch.
  • TED Spread 24.5 -.75 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.5 +.25 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 148.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $63.44/Metric Tonne +.67%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -48.40 -3.0 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 46.60 -.6 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -11.40 -2.4 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.72 unch.
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +100 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +8 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical sector longs shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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