Monday, February 23, 2015

Stocks Lower into Final Hour on Escalating Russia/Ukraine Tensions, Rising Emerging Markets Debt Angst, Global Growth Fears, Commodity/Gaming Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.85 +3.85%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.77 -.49%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.37 +.19%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 63.78 +3.51%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 114.0 +5.56%
  • Total Put/Call .86 +8.86%
  • NYSE Arms 1.88 +91.4% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.35 -.15%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 684.0 +.93%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 58.88 -4.41%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 24.46 -4.49%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 64.79 -.32%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 387.82 +2.76%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 113.80 +.06%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.5 +1.0 basis point
  • TED Spread 24.75 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -23.0 +1.75 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .02% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 145.0 -3.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $63.44/Metric Tonne n/a
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -45.60 +1.8 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 50.1 -6.0 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -10.70 +1.0 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.76 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating +3 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -21 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech/medical sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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