Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Stocks Falling into Final Hour on Surging Eurozone Debt Angst, Rising Long-Term Rates, Global Growth Worries, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Substantially Lower
  • Sector Performance: Almost Every Sector Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Underperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.19 +10.43%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 140.18 +.19%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.39 -.86%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 66.88 +3.15%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 152.0 +67.03%
  • Total Put/Call 1.22 +28.42%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -2.50% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 63.87 +1.67%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,083.0 -.32%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 74.11 +5.25%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 25.18 +10.73%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 59.80 -.47%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 299.06 -.19%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 118.07 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 26.0 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 26.50 -1.5 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -20.5 -.75 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 155.0 +2.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $58.70/Metric Tonne +2.0%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -65.30 -9.2 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 5.20 -1.3 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -18.10 +.1 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.93 +1.0 basis point
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei Futures: Indicating -132 open in Japan
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +9 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Lower: On losses in my biotech/medical/retail/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges and to my (EEM) short
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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