Friday, June 05, 2015

Stocks Slightly Lower into Afternoon on Rising Long-Term Rates, Surging European/Emerging Markets/US High-Yield Debt Angst, Earnings Concerns, Utilities/Metals & Mining Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Modestly Higher
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 14.45 -1.77%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 145.85 -.09%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 9.66 +.73%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 64.38 +1.92%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 97.0 +15.5%
  • Total Put/Call 1.04 -9.57%
  • NYSE Arms .70 -57.71% 
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 66.74 +1.16%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 1,164.0 +1.97%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 77.21 +3.46%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 23.19 +3.55%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 62.02 +.46%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 310.43 +2.92%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporates High Yield Index 120.11 +.05%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 24.75 +.25 basis point
  • TED Spread 27.0 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -19.25 -.5 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .01% unch.
  • Yield Curve 168.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $64.45/Metric Tonne -.49%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -47.90 +2.6 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index 6.0 +1.6 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -21.50 -2.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.88 +4.0 basis points
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +103 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -392 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating -12 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my biotech sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: Covered some of my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 50% Net Long

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