Friday, June 17, 2016

Stocks Falling into Afternoon on Brexit Fears, Earnings Outlook Worries, Technical Selling, Biotech/Tech Sector Weakness

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Lower
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Declining
  • Volume: Slightly Above Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 19.7 +1.7%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 122.75 +.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 10.79 -1.46%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 57.25 +1.49%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 111.0 +30.59%
  • Total Put/Call 1.13 -19.29%
  • NYSE Arms 1.05 -16.97
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 82.73 -.14%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 811.0 +2.0%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 111.55 -1.72%
  • Western Europe Sovereign Debt CDS Index 29.66 -2.64%
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 54.25 -.24%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 301.31 -.83%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 129.52 +.10%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 15.25 +.75 basis point
  • TED Spread 40.25 +.25 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -36.75 +3.0 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.66 +.53%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield .26% +1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 93.0 +4.0 basis points
  • China Import Iron Ore Spot $51.05/Metric Tonne +.69%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index -19.90 +1.7 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -5.80 -.7 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index -2.8 +1.1 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 1.45% -2.0 basis points
  • 21.0% chance of Fed rate hike at Sept. 21 meeting, 21.0% chance at Nov. 2 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +21 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating -52 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +33 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Lower: On losses in my medical/biotech/tech sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: Added to my (IWM)/(QQQ) hedges
  • Market Exposure: Moved to 25% Net Long

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