Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Thursday Watch

Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are -.75% to +.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 148.5 -1.0 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 54.0 -1.5 basis points.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 71.50 -.01%
  • S&P 500 futures -.07%. 
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.11%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate 

  • (KR)/.69
  • (RAD)/.04
  • (FNSR).,25
  • (MRVL)/.09
  • (ORCL)/.82
  • (SWHC)/.54
Economic Releases  
8:30 am EST
  • The Current Account Balance for 1Q is estimated at -$125.0B versus -$125.3B in 4Q.
  • Initial Jobless Claims are estimated to rise to 270K versus 264K the prior week.
  • Continuing Claims are estimated to rise to 2140K versus 2095K prior.
  • Philly Fed Business Outlook for June is estimated to rise to 1.0 versus -1.8 in May.
  • The CPI MoM for May is estimated to rise +.3% versus a +.4% gain in April.
  • The CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM for May is estimated to rise +.2% versus a +.2% gain in April.    
  • Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY for May. 
10:00 am EST
  • The NAHB Housing Market Index for June is estimated to rise to 59.0 versus 58.0 in May.
Upcoming Splits 
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The Swiss rate decision, Bloomberg Economic Expectations Index for June, weekly Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index and the (MGM) investor day could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are mostly lower, weighed down by industrial and technology shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to weaken into the afternoon, finishing modestly lower. The Portfolio is 25% net long heading into the day.

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