Friday, March 16, 2018

Stocks Close Slightly Higher on Economic Optimism, Earnings Outlooks, Oil Gain, Retail/Industrial Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Higher
  • Sector Performance: Most Sectors Rising
  • Volume: Heavy
  • Market Leading Stocks: Outperforming
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 15.82 -4.64%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 135.78 -.38%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 7.88 -.25%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.98 -6.09%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 91.0 -13.33%
  • Total Put/Call .99 +12.5%
  • NYSE Arms .81 -28.01%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 51.67 -1.95%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 401.0 +.24%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.67 -1.95%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 141.25 +.25 basis point
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 11.33 -.7%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 118.57 -.1%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 148.41 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 32.25 +2.5 basis points
  • TED Spread 40.5 +3.75 basis points
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -22.5 -9.25 basis points
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 75.13 -.44%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.77% unch.
  • Yield Curve 55.5 +1.0 basis point
  • China Iron Ore Spot 67.10 USD/Metric Tonne +.88%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 45.8 +6.1 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -31.70 -.1 point
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 39.30 -.2 point
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.09 unch.
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 2 meeting, 100.0% chance at June 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating -206 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +20 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +26 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Slightly Higher: On gains in my retail/industrial sector longs and emerging markets shorts
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 50% Net Long

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