Thursday, March 08, 2018

Stocks Reversing Higher into Final Hour on Diminishing Trade War Fears, Earnings Optimism, Technical Buying, Gaming/Pharma Sector Strength

Broad Equity Market Tone:
  • Advance/Decline Line: Around Even
  • Sector Performance: Mixed
  • Volume: Below Average
  • Market Leading Stocks: Performing In Line
Equity Investor Angst:
  • Volatility(VIX) 17.4 -2.0%
  • Euro/Yen Carry Return Index 136.12 -.72%
  • Emerging Markets Currency Volatility(VXY) 8.0 +.76%
  • S&P 500 Implied Correlation 41.63 +2.16%
  • ISE Sentiment Index 104.0 +18.18%
  • Total Put/Call .92 -11.5%
  • NYSE Arms 1.61 +6.7%
Credit Investor Angst:
  • North American Investment Grade CDS Index 56.72 -.1%
  • America Energy Sector High-Yield CDS Index 391.0 +.7%
  • European Financial Sector CDS Index 51.90 -1.83%
  • Italian/German 10Y Yld Spread 135.75 +5.75 basis points
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign Debt CDS Index 11.95 -.21%
  • Emerging Market CDS Index 118.54 -.63%
  • iBoxx Offshore RMB China Corporate High Yield Index 148.06 +.02%
  • 2-Year Swap Spread 29.5 +.5 basis point
  • TED Spread 37.0 +1.0 basis point
  • 3-Month EUR/USD Cross-Currency Basis Swap -29.0 +1.0 basis point
Economic Gauges:
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 75.23 -.38%
  • 3-Month T-Bill Yield 1.67% -1.0 basis point
  • Yield Curve 61.25 -1.75 basis points
  • China Iron Ore Spot 70.10 USD/Metric Tonne +.06%
  • Citi US Economic Surprise Index 38.0 -2.3 points
  • Citi Eurozone Economic Surprise Index -12.80 -4.8 points
  • Citi Emerging Markets Economic Surprise Index 31.30 +19.0 points
  • 10-Year TIPS Spread 2.12 -1.0 basis point
  • 100.0% chance of Fed rate hike at May 2 meeting, 100.0% chance at June 13 meeting
Overseas Futures:
  • Nikkei 225 Futures: Indicating +132 open in Japan 
  • China A50 Futures: Indicating +31 open in China
  • DAX Futures: Indicating +3 open in Germany
Portfolio: 
  • Higher: On gains in my medical/biotech/tech/industrial sector longs
  • Disclosed Trades: None
  • Market Exposure: 100% Net Long

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