Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Wednesday Watch

Evening Headlines
Bloomberg:     
  • Asia Stocks Rally Seen Extending; Dollar Steady. Asian stocks looked set to extend a rally in the wake of the latest salvos in the trade war that look likely to be less intense than many had feared. Treasuries held losses and the dollar remained steady. Futures signaled gains for equities in Japan and China, building on an advance that began in Asia Tuesday and extended into the U.S. session. That’s despite the U.S.-China trade war deepening as Beijing announced retaliatory tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods and the Trump administration threatened duties on virtually all Chinese imports. Commodities also rallied. The yen was steady before the Bank of Japan concludes its meeting that will likely see policy left unchanged, keeping monetary stimulus in place. Futures on Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.5 percent in Singapore. FTSE China A50 futures advanced 0.7 percent. Futures on Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 0.5 percent. Futures on Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index rose 0.5 percent.
Wall St. Journal:
Business Insider:
Night Trading 
  • Asian equity indices are +.25% to +1.25% on average.
  • Asia Ex-Japan Investment Grade CDS Index 77.50 -.5 basis point. 
  • Asia Pacific Sovereign CDS Index 12.25 unch.
  • Bloomberg Emerging Markets Currency Index 65.82 -.01%.
  • FTSE 100 futures +.04%.
  • S&P 500 futures -.04%.
  • NASDAQ 100 futures -.04%.
Morning Preview Links

Earnings of Note
Company/Estimate

Before the Open:
  • (CPRT)/.48
After the Close:
  • (MLHR)/.65
  • (RHT)/.82
Economic Releases
8:30 am EST
  • The Current Account Balance for 2Q is estimated at -$103.4B versus -$124.1B in 1Q.
  • Housing Starts for August are estimated to rise to 1238K versus 1168K in July.
  • Building Permits for August are estimated to fall to 1310K versus 1311K in July.
10:30 pm EST
  • Bloomberg consensus estimates call for a weekly crude oil inventory decline of -2,691,180 barrels versus a -5,296,000 barrel decline the prior week. Gasoline supplies are estimated to rise by +16,090 barrels versus a +1,250,000 barrel gain the prior week. Distillate inventories are estimated to rise by +570,640 barrels versus a +6,163,000 barrel gain the prior week. Finally, Refinery Utilization is estimated to fall -.72% versus a +1.0% gain prior.
Upcoming Splits
  • None of note
Other Potential Market Movers
  • The UK CPI report and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications report could also impact trading today.
BOTTOM LINE:  Asian indices are higher, boosted by consumer and industrial shares in the region. I expect US stocks to open mixed and to rally into the afternoon, finishing modestly higher.  The Portfolio is 100% net long heading into the day.

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